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. 2013 Feb;38(Suppl 1):153-168.
doi: 10.1111/j.1728-4457.2013.00557.x.

Fertility Transition: Is sub-Saharan Africa Different?

John Bongaarts, John Casterline

Fertility Transition: Is sub-Saharan Africa Different?

John Bongaarts et al. Popul Dev Rev. 2013 Feb.
No abstract available

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Figures

FIGURE 1
FIGURE 1. Regional trends in TFR
SOURCE: United Nations 2011.
FIGURE 2
FIGURE 2. Pace of fertility decline within countries, by region
SOURCES: United Nations 2011; DHS surveys.
FIGURE 3
FIGURE 3. Age patterns of fertility, by region, when TFR >4.5 and <5.5
NOTE: Sample is one survey per country, TFR closest to 5.0. Age-specific rates adjusted to sum to TFR = 5.0. n = 38 countries.
FIGURE 4
FIGURE 4. Median second birth interval, when TFR >4.5 and <5.5
NOTE: Median length of preceding interval for all births in months 0–59 before survey. n = 38 countries.
FIGURE 5
FIGURE 5. Age pattern of fertility decline, by TFR [percent decline at ages 30+]/[Percent decline all ages]
NOTE: n = 49 countries and 92 inter-survey periods; minimum TFR decline = 0.4 births; minimum inter-survey period = 4 years.
FIGURE 6
FIGURE 6. Ideal number of children at onset of transition among women married <10 years
NOTE: Earliest survey, TFR >5.5. n = 37 countries.
FIGURE 7
FIGURE 7. Trends in ideal number of children by total fertility rate
NOTE: Earliest and most recent survey in each country, n = 63 countries.
FIGURE 8
FIGURE 8. Historical trends in contraceptive demand and use
FIGURE 9
FIGURE 9. Trends in unmet need for contraception, by region
NOTE: Sample is onset of fertility decline as of earliest survey. n = 27 countries.
See this image and copyright information in PMC

References

    1. Bledsoe Caroline, Banja Fatoumatta, Hill Allan G. Reproductive mishaps and Western contraception: An African challenge to fertility theory. Population and Development Review. 1998;24(1):15–57.
    1. Bongaarts John. The measurement of wanted fertility. Population and Development Review. 1990;16(3):487–506.
    1. Bongaarts John. Can family planning programs affect high desired family size in sub-Saharan Africa? International Perspectives on Sexual and Reproductive Health. 2011;37(4):209–216. - PubMed
    1. Bongaarts John, Bruce Judith. The causes of unmet need for contraception and the social content of services. Studies in Family Planning. 1995;26(2):57–75. - PubMed
    1. Bongaarts John, Watkins Susan Cotts. Social interactions and contemporary fertility transitions. Population and Development Review. 1996;22(4):639–682.

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