Delphi: Somewhere between Scylla and Charybdis?
- PMID: 25239235
- PMCID: PMC4205639
- DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1415425111
Delphi: Somewhere between Scylla and Charybdis?
Conflict of interest statement
The authors declare no conflict of interest.
Comment on
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Use (and abuse) of expert elicitation in support of decision making for public policy.Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2014 May 20;111(20):7176-84. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1319946111. Epub 2014 May 12. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2014. PMID: 24821779 Free PMC article.
References
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- Bolger F, Stranieri A, Wright G, Yearwood J. Does the Delphi process lead to increased accuracy in group-based judgmental forecasts or does it simply induce consensus amongst judgmental forecasters? Technol Forecast Soc Change. 2011;78(9):1671–1680.
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- Bolger F, Wright G. Improving the Delphi process: Lessons from social psychological research. Technol Forecast Soc Change. 2011;78(9):1500–1513.
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- Rowe G, Wright G. The Delphi technique: Past, present, and future prospects—Introduction to the Special Issue. Technol Forecast Soc Change. 2011;78(9):1487–1490.
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