The burden of smoking in Israel-attributable mortality and costs (2014)
- PMID: 25258677
- PMCID: PMC4164333
- DOI: 10.1186/2045-4015-3-28
The burden of smoking in Israel-attributable mortality and costs (2014)
Erratum in
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Erratum to: The burden of smoking in Israel-attributable mortality and costs (2014).Isr J Health Policy Res. 2016 Feb 10;5:5. doi: 10.1186/s13584-016-0064-9. eCollection 2016. Isr J Health Policy Res. 2016. PMID: 26865950 Free PMC article.
Abstract
Background: Tobacco use is the single most preventable cause of death, incurring huge resource costs in terms of treating morbidity and lost productivity. This paper estimates smoking attributable mortality (SAM) as health costs in 2014 in Israel.
Methods: Longitudinal data on prevalence of smokers and ex-smokers were combined with diagnostic and gender specific data on Relative Risks (RR) to gender and disease specific population attributable risks (PAR). PAR was then applied to mortality and hospitalization data from 2011, adjusted by population growth to 2014 to calculate SAM and hospitalization days (SAHD) caused by active smoking. These were used as a base for calculating deaths, hospital days and costs attributable to passive smoking, smoking by pregnant women, residential fires and productivity losses based on international literature.
Results: The lagged model estimated active SAM in Israel in 2014 to be 7,025 deaths. Cardio-vascular causes accounted for 45.0% of SAM, malignant neoplasms (39.2%) and respiratory diseases (15.5%). Lung cancer alone accounted for 24.1% of SAM. There were an estimated 793, 17 and 12 deaths from passive smoking, mothers-to-be smoking and residential fires. Total SAM is around 7,847 deaths (95% CI 7,698-7,997) in 2014. We estimated 319,231 active SAHD days (95% CI 313,135-325,326). Respiratory care accounted for around one-half of active SAHD (50.5%). Cardio-Vascular causes for 33.5% and malignant neoplasms (13.2%). Lung cancer only for 4.6%. Total SAHD was around 356,601 days including 36,049 days from passive smoking. Estimated direct acute care costs of 356,601 days in a general hospital amount to around 849 (95% CI 832-865) million NIS ($244 million). Non acute care costs amount to an additional 830 million NIS ($238 million). The total health service costs amount to 1,678 million NIS (95% CI 1,646-1,710) or $482 million, 0.2% of GNP. Productivity losses account for a further 1,909 million NIS ($548 million), giving an overall smoking related cost of 3,587 million NIS (95% CI 3,519-3,656) or $1,030 million, 0.41% of GNP).
Conclusions: Smoking causes a considerable burden in Israel, both in terms of the expected 7,847 lives lost and the financial costs of around 3.6 million NIS ($1,030 million or 0.42% of GNP).
Keywords: Attributable mortality; Costs; Mortality; Smoking.
References
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- The World Health Report. 2002: Reducing risks, promoting healthy life. Geneva: WHO; 2002. - PubMed
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- WHO. Tobacco Free Initative. http://www.who.int/tobacco/health_priority/en/ Accessed 2nd February 2014.
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- Central Bureau of Statistics, Monthly Abstract of Statistics, January 2014, CBS, Jerusalem, Israel. http://www1.cbs.gov.il/publications14/yarhon0114/pdf/b1.pdf Accessed 10th February 2014.
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- Minister of Health’s Report on Smoking in Israel 2013. Public Health Services. Ministry of Health; 2014. (Hebrew). http://www.health.gov.il/PublicationsFiles/smoking_2013.pdf Accessed 9th July 2014.
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- Ginsberg G, Rosen B, Rosenberg E. Cost-Utility Analysis Cost-Utility Analyses of Interventions to Reduce the Smoking-Related Burden of Disease in Israel. RR-540-10. Jerusalem, Israel: Brookdale-Smokler Center for Health Policy Research; 2014.
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