ESRD from lupus nephritis in the United States, 1995-2010

Abstract

Background and objectives: While ESRD from lupus nephritis (ESLN) increased in the United States after the mid-1990s and racial disparities were apparent, current trends are unknown.

Design, setting, participants, & measurements: Retrospective US Renal Data System data (n=1,557,117) were used to calculate standardized incidence ratios (standardized to 1995-1996) and outcomes of ESLN (n=16,649). For events occurring after initiation of RRT, follow-up ended on June 30, 2011.

Results: Overall ESLN rates (95% confidence intervals [95% CIs]) in 1995-1996 were 3.1 (2.9 to 3.2) cases per million per year. Rates were higher for subgroups characterized by African-American race (11.1 [95% CI, 10.3 to 11.9]); other race (4.9 [95% CI, 4.0 to 5.8]); female sex (4.9 [95% CI, 4.6 to 5.2]); and ages 20-29 years (4.9 [95% CI, 4.4 to 5.4]), 30-44 years (4.6 [95% CI, 4.2 to 5.0]), and 45-64 years (4.0 [95% CI, 3.7 to 4.4]). Standardized incidence ratios for the overall population in subsequent biennia were 1.19 (1.14 to 1.24) in 1997-1998, 1.17 (1.12 to 1.22) in 1999-2000, 1.17 (1.12 to 1.22) in 2001-2002, 1.21 (1.16 to 1.26) in 2003-2004, 1.18 (1.13 to 1.23) in 2005-2006, 1.16 (1.11 to 1.21) in 2007-2008, and 1.05 (1.01 to 1.09) in 2009-2010, respectively. During a median (interquartile range) follow-up of 4.4 (6.3) years, 42.6% of patients with ESLN died, 45.3% were listed for renal transplant, and 28.7% underwent transplantation. Patients with ESLN were more likely than matched controls to be listed for and to undergo transplantation, and mortality rates were similar. Among patients with ESLN, African Americans were less likely to undergo transplantation (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.54 [0.51 to 0.58]) and more likely to die prematurely (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.23 [1.17 to 1.30]).

Conclusions: While ESLN appears to have stopped increasing in the last decade, racial disparities in outcomes persist.

Keywords: end-stage renal disease; epidemiology and outcomes; lupus nephritis.

Figure 1.

Trends in the burden of end-stage lupus nephritis in the United States, with incidence ratios standardized (by age, sex, and race) against the 1995–1996 biennium. Dark triangles indicate the chronology of notable randomized intervention studies. Error bars refer to 95% confidence intervals around the standardized incidence ratios (SIRs). MMF, mycophenolate mofetil.