An easy-to-use, operator-independent, clinical model to predict the left vs. right ventricular outflow tract origin of ventricular arrhythmias

Abstract

Aims: To identify clinical characteristics able to predict a left ventricular outflow tract (LVOT) origin in outflow tract ventricular arrhythmias (OTVAs).

Methods and results: We included 117 consecutive patients (training sample) with successful radiofrequency ablation of OTVA in one centre. A predictive model for LVOT origin was obtained using clinical data. The model was prospectively validated in a second population (testing sample) of 143 patients from two additional centres. In training sample, mean age was 54 ± 17 years, 72 patients (61%) were male, and 63 (54%) had cardiovascular risk factors. Sixty (51%) patients had LVOT origin. Independent predictors for LVOT origin were the presence of hypertension [odds ratio (OR) 2.17, confidence interval (CI) 0.91-6.20, P = 0.09], male gender (OR 4.83, 95% CI 1.89-12.33, P < 0.001), and age >50 years (OR 4.46, 95% CI 1.57-12.7, P = 0.005). A simple score was constructed with these three variables to predict LVOT origin (mean predicted probability of 15% for score 0, 26% for score 1, 60% for score 2, and 87% for score 3, P < 0.001) and reached 80% sensitivity and 75% specificity. The score was validated in the testing sample and was not inferior to previously described electrocardiogram algorithms.

Conclusion: Patients currently referred for OTVA ablation are older, more frequently men, and with a higher probability for LVOT origin than previously described. A LVOT origin is associated with the presence of hypertension, male gender, and older age, and can be anticipated by using a simple clinical score.

Keywords: Cardiovascular risk factors; Outflow tract; Radiofrequency ablation; Site of origin; Ventricular arrhythmias.