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. 1989 Sep 5;325(1226):113-21.
doi: 10.1098/rstb.1989.0076.

Estimation of the incidence of HIV infection

V Isham  1
Affiliations

Estimation of the incidence of HIV infection

V Isham. Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. .

Abstract

The aim of the method of 'back projection' is to provide estimates of the number of new infections with the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) as a function of time, by using the numbers of diagnoses of the acquired immune deficiency syndrome (AIDS) together with information on the distribution of the incubation period between infection and diagnosis. Here, the method is investigated with particular reference to cases of HIV infection and AIDS in the United Kingdom.

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