Outcome of acute mesenteric ischemia in the intensive care unit: a retrospective, multicenter study of 780 cases

Abstract

Background: In the intensive care unit (ICU), the outcomes of patients with acute mesenteric ischemia (AMI) are poorly documented. This study aimed to determine the risk factors for death in ICU patients with AMI.

Methods: A retrospective, observational, non-interventional, multicenter study was conducted in 43 ICUs of 38 public institutions in France. From January 2008 to December 2013, all adult patients with a diagnosis of AMI during their hospitalization in ICU were included in a database. The diagnosis was confirmed by at least one of three procedures (computed tomography scan, gastrointestinal endoscopy, or upon surgery). To determine factors associated with ICU death, we established a logistic regression model. Recursive partitioning analysis was applied to construct a decision tree regarding risk factors and their interactions most critical to determining outcomes.

Results: The death rate of the 780 included patients was 58 %. Being older, having a higher sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) severity score at diagnosis, and a plasma lactate concentration over 2.7 mmol/l at diagnosis were independent risk factors of ICU mortality. In contrast, having a prior history of peripheral vascular disease or an initial surgical treatment were independent protective factors against ICU mortality. Using age and SOFA severity score, we established an ICU mortality score at diagnosis based on the cutoffs provided by recursive partitioning analysis. Probability of survival was statistically different (p < 0.001) between patients with a score from 0 to 2 and those with a score of 3 and 4.

Conclusion: Acute mesenteric ischemia in ICU patients was associated with a 58 % ICU death rate. Age and SOFA severity score at diagnosis were risk factors for mortality. Plasma lactate concentration over 2.7 mmol/l was also an independent risk factor, but values in the normal range did not exclude the diagnosis of AMI.