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Multicenter Study
. 2015;59(6):3084-9.
doi: 10.1128/AAC.05016-14. Epub 2015 Mar 16.

Results of a multinational study suggest the need for rapid diagnosis and early antiviral treatment at the onset of herpetic meningoencephalitis

Affiliations
Multicenter Study

Results of a multinational study suggest the need for rapid diagnosis and early antiviral treatment at the onset of herpetic meningoencephalitis

Hakan Erdem et al. Antimicrob Agents Chemother. 2015.

Abstract

Data in the literature regarding the factors that predict unfavorable outcomes in adult herpetic meningoencephalitis (HME) cases are scarce. We conducted a multicenter study in order to provide insights into the predictors of HME outcomes, with special emphasis on the use and timing of antiviral treatment. Samples from 501 patients with molecular confirmation from cerebrospinal fluid were included from 35 referral centers in 10 countries. Four hundred thirty-eight patients were found to be eligible for the analysis. Overall, 232 (52.9%) patients experienced unfavorable outcomes, 44 died, and 188 survived, with sequelae. Age (odds ratio [OR], 1.04; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.02 to 1.05), Glasgow Coma Scale score (OR, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.77 to 0.93), and symptomatic periods of 2 to 7 days (OR, 1.80; 95% CI, 1.16 to 2.79) and >7 days (OR, 3.75; 95% CI, 1.72 to 8.15) until the commencement of treatment predicted unfavorable outcomes. The outcome in HME patients is related to a combination of therapeutic and host factors. This study suggests that rapid diagnosis and early administration of antiviral treatment in HME patients are keys to a favorable outcome.

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Figures

FIG 1
FIG 1
Predictions (Pr, probability) of antiviral treatment timing for unfavorable outcome. The data are presented as the mean values with the 95% CI.
FIG 2
FIG 2
Observed outcomes against predicted outcomes estimated by the model.
FIG 3
FIG 3
Predictive margins of age and Glasgow Coma Scale score on unfavorable outcome. The data are presented as the mean values with the 95% CI.

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