Vesicoureteral Reflux Index: 2-Institution Analysis and Validation

Abstract

Purpose: The vesicoureteral reflux index is a novel tool designed to predict spontaneous reflux resolution in infants younger than 2 years. We performed a multi-institutional validation study to confirm the discriminatory power of the vesicoureteral reflux index to predict the vesicoureteral reflux resolution rate in young children.

Materials and methods: We identified patients diagnosed with primary vesicoureteral reflux before age 24 months who had 2 or more voiding cystourethrograms available. Demographics, vesicoureteral reflux grade and timing, ureteral anomalies and radiographic outcomes were evaluated. The C-index was estimated for time to event model assessment.

Results: A total of 219 girls and 150 boys met study inclusion criteria. Mean ± SD age at diagnosis was 4.7 ± 4.9 months. Of the patients 101 (27.4%) had early to mid filling, 214 (58%) had late filling and 54 (14.6%) had voiding only vesicoureteral reflux. High grade reflux was present in 87 patients (23.6%) and ureteral anomalies were observed in 50 (13.6%). A vesicoureteral reflux index of 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 or greater showed an improvement/resolution rate of 88.2%, 77.3%, 62.3%, 32.1% and 14.3%, respectively. On time to event analysis children with filling phase vesicoureteral reflux (p <0.001), grade 4-5 reflux (p <0.001) and ureteral anomalies (p = 0.003) had significantly longer median time to resolution. Median time to spontaneous resolution was 12.6, 12.7, 15.1, 25.6 and 31 months or greater for a vesicoureteral reflux index of 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 or greater, respectively (C-index 0.305, 95% CI 0.252-0.357). During the study period 65 patients (17.6%) underwent surgical intervention.

Conclusions: The vesicoureteral reflux index is a simple tool that reliably predicts significant improvement and spontaneous resolution of primary reflux in patients diagnosed at younger than 2 years. The index provides valuable prognostic information, facilitating individualized patient care.

Keywords: decision support techniques; kidney; remission; spontaneous; ureter; vesico-ureteral reflux.