Prediction of sudden death and spontaneous ventricular tachycardia in survivors of complicated myocardial infarction: value of the response to programmed stimulation using a maximum of three ventricular extrastimuli

Abstract

The prognostic significance of ventricular arrhythmias induced by programmed electrical stimulation was evaluated in 50 survivors of acute myocardial infarction complicated by a major new conduction disturbance (38 patients), congestive heart failure (33 patients) or sustained ventricular tachyarrhythmias (22 patients), alone or in combination. Programmed stimulation was performed in patients in stable condition 7 to 36 days (mean 16) after infarction using one to three extrastimuli at four times diastolic threshold at a maximum of two right ventricular sites. Two groups were identified by the response to programmed stimulation: 17 patients with sustained (greater than 15 seconds) or nonsustained (greater than 7 beats but less than or equal to 15 seconds) ventricular tachycardia (group I), and 33 patients with 0 to 7 intraventricular reentrant complexes in response to maximal stimulation efforts (group II). Group I patients had a higher incidence of anterior infarction than that of patients in group II (71 versus 42%), had lower left ventricular ejection fraction (mean 0.35 versus 0.48) and were more often treated with antiarrhythmic drugs (47 versus 18%, p less than 0.05). There were no significant differences between groups in the occurrence of congestive failure, new conduction disorders or sustained ventricular arrhythmias with infarction, or in the proportions treated with a beta-receptor blocking agent, coronary bypass grafting or a permanent pacemaker. Total cardiac mortality was 24% during a mean follow-up period of 23 months and did not differ between groups; however, the response to programmed stimulation identified a group at high risk of late sudden death or spontaneous ventricular tachycardia: 7 (41%) of 17 group I patients compared with 0 of 33 group II patients (p less than 0.001). The induction of sustained or nonsustained ventricular tachycardia identified all patients who died suddenly or had spontaneous tachycardia (sensitivity 100%), but triple extrastimuli were required to induce prognostically significant arrhythmias in five of these seven patients; the specificity of this protocol was only 57%. When the clinical variables of the group were evaluated individually, the response to programmed stimulation had a stronger association with occurrence of late sudden death than did any other factor (Fisher's exact test, p less than 0.001); however, a type II error could not be excluded.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 400 WORDS)