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. 2015 Nov;123(11):1187-92.
doi: 10.1289/ehp.1408916. Epub 2015 Apr 3.

Spatial Variation and Land Use Regression Modeling of the Oxidative Potential of Fine Particles

Affiliations

Spatial Variation and Land Use Regression Modeling of the Oxidative Potential of Fine Particles

Aileen Yang et al. Environ Health Perspect. 2015 Nov.

Abstract

Background: Oxidative potential (OP) has been suggested to be a more health-relevant metric than particulate matter (PM) mass. Land use regression (LUR) models can estimate long-term exposure to air pollution in epidemiological studies, but few have been developed for OP.

Objectives: We aimed to characterize the spatial contrasts of two OP methods and to develop and evaluate LUR models to assess long-term exposure to the OP of PM2.5.

Methods: Three 2-week PM2.5 samples were collected at 10 regional background, 12 urban background, and 18 street sites spread over the Netherlands/Belgium in 1 year and analyzed for OP using electron spin resonance (OP(ESR)) and dithiothreitol (OP(DTT)). LUR models were developed using temporally adjusted annual averages and a range of land-use and traffic-related GIS variables.

Results: Street/urban background site ratio was 1.2 for OP(DTT) and 1.4 for OP(ESR), whereas regional/urban background ratio was 0.8 for both. OP(ESR) correlated moderately with OP(DTT) (R2 = 0.35). The LUR models included estimated regional background OP, local traffic, and large-scale urbanity with explained variance (R2) of 0.60 for OP(DTT) and 0.67 for OP(ESR). OP(DTT) and OP(ESR) model predictions were moderately correlated (R2 = 0.44). OP model predictions were moderately to highly correlated with predictions from a previously published PM2.5 model (R2 = 0.37-0.52), and highly correlated with predictions from previously published models of traffic components (R2 > 0.50).

Conclusion: LUR models explained a large fraction of the spatial variation of the two OP metrics. The moderate correlations among the predictions of OP(DTT), OP(ESR), and PM2.5 models offer the potential to investigate which metric is the strongest predictor of health effects.

Citation: Yang A, Wang M, Eeftens M, Beelen R, Dons E, Leseman DL, Brunekreef B, Cassee FR, Janssen NA, Hoek G. 2015. Spatial variation and land use regression modeling of the oxidative potential of fine particles. Environ Health Perspect 123:1187-1192; http://dx.doi.org/10.1289/ehp.1408916.

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Conflict of interest statement

The authors declare they have no actual or potential competing financial interests.

Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1
Adjusted annual average of OPESR (left) and OPDTT (right) by site type. Median, mean, and 25th and 75th percentiles are shown in the box, whiskers indicate minimum and maximum values, and individual outliers are shown as points. n = 40 sites.
Figure 2
Figure 2
Relationship among measured annual average of OPDTT, OPESR, Cu (ng/m3), Fe (ng/m3), NO2 (μg/m3), PM2.5 mass concentration (μg/m3), and PM2.5 absorbance (abs; 10–5/m) by site type; n = 40. The correlation coefficients (R2) are presented in Table 2.

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