The natural history of cytogenetically abnormal fetuses detected at midtrimester amniocentesis which are not terminated electively: new data and estimates of the excess and relative risk of late fetal death associated with 47,+21 and some other abnormal karyotypes

Abstract

We report the results of an ongoing survey of rates of spontaneous death of fetuses with chromosome abnormalities detected at second-trimester amniocentesis in which the mother did not elect abortion. Estimated excess risks (and conservative 90% confidence intervals) of spontaneous fetal death for various cytogenetic abnormalities are as follows: 47,+21, 25.6% (18.0%-34.0%); 47,+18, 63.8% (49.3%-79.8%); 47,+13, 36.5% (11%-69.7%); 45,X, 65.3% (41.0%-84.2%); and mosaic 45,X/46,XX, 10.8% (1.0%-26.8%). There is little evidence for an excess risk of fetal death, at least following amniocentesis, for 47,XXX, 47,XXY, or 47,XYY. The excess risks of fetal death were adjusted for the likelihood that a fetus of normal karyotype would undergo spontaneous fetal death in a population of older maternal age similar to that in which prenatal cytogenetic diagnosis is undertaken. The absolute fetal death rates when this factor is ignored are about 3.5% higher (i.e., may be derived by adding 3.5% to the values given). The excess risks are those which are most appropriate for use in estimating the contribution of chromosome abnormalities to spontaneous fetal death.