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. 2015;69 Suppl 1(sup1):S11-20.
doi: 10.1080/00324728.2015.1009712.

Integrating macro- and micro-level approaches in the explanation of population change

Francesco C Billari  1
Affiliations

Integrating macro- and micro-level approaches in the explanation of population change

Francesco C Billari. Popul Stud (Camb). 2015.

Abstract

Demographers study population change across time and place, and traditionally they place a strong emphasis on a long-range view of population change. This paper builds on current reflections on how to structure the study of population change and proposes a two-stage perspective. The first stage, discovery, focuses on the production of novel evidence at the population level. The second stage, explanation, develops accounts of demographic change and tests how the action and interaction of individuals generate what is discovered in the first stage. This explanatory stage also provides the foundation for the prediction of demographic change. The transformation of micro-level actions and interactions into macro-level population outcomes is identified as a key challenge for the second stage. Specific instances of research are discussed.

Keywords: demographic research; discovery; explanation; life course; micro–macro; theory.

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Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1. The two-stage view of demography (adapted from Hedström and Swedberg and the original diagram by Coleman 1986)
See this image and copyright information in PMC

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