Cost-effectiveness of Babesia microti antibody and nucleic acid blood donation screening using results from prospective investigational studies

Abstract

Background: Babesia microti causes transfusion-transmitted babesiosis (TTB); currently, blood donor screening assays are unlicensed but used investigationally.

Study design and methods: We developed a decision tree model assessing the comparative- and cost-effectiveness of B. microti blood donation screening strategies in endemic areas compared to the status quo (question regarding a history of babesiosis), including testing by: (1) universal antibody (Ab), (2) universal polymerase chain reaction (PCR), (3) universal Ab/PCR, and (4) recipient risk-targeted Ab/PCR. The model predicted the number of TTB cases, complicated TTB cases, cases averted, and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs). Economic outcomes included each strategy's per-donation cost, waste (number of infection-free units incorrectly discarded), and waste index (number wasted units/number true positives). Sensitivity analyses examined uncertainty in transmission probabilities, prevalence rates, and other key model inputs.

Results: Universal PCR in four endemic states would prevent 24 to 31 TTB cases/100,000 units transfused (pht) at an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of $26,000 to $44,000/QALY (transmission probability dependent) and waste index of zero. Universal Ab/PCR would prevent 33 to 42 TTB cases pht at an ICER of $54,000 to $83,000/QALY and waste index of 0.05. The questionnaire is most wasteful (99.62 units wasted pht; 208.62 waste index), followed by the risk-targeted strategy (76.27 units wasted pht; 0.68 waste index). The model predicted zero cases of TTB or complicated TTB with universal Ab/PCR (versus [33, 42] and [13, 18] pht, respectively [no screening]). Results are highly sensitive to transmission probabilities.

Conclusions: Universal PCR in endemic states is an effective blood donation screening strategy at a threshold of $50,000/QALY. Using a higher cost-effectiveness ratio, universal Ab/PCR is the most effective strategy.