Skip to main page content
U.S. flag

An official website of the United States government

Dot gov

The .gov means it’s official.
Federal government websites often end in .gov or .mil. Before sharing sensitive information, make sure you’re on a federal government site.

Https

The site is secure.
The https:// ensures that you are connecting to the official website and that any information you provide is encrypted and transmitted securely.

Access keys NCBI Homepage MyNCBI Homepage Main Content Main Navigation
. 2015 May 22:6:680.
doi: 10.3389/fpsyg.2015.00680. eCollection 2015.

Basic understanding of posterior probability

Vittorio Girotto  1 , Stefania Pighin  1
Affiliations

Basic understanding of posterior probability

Vittorio Girotto et al. Front Psychol. .
No abstract available

Keywords: intuitive judgments; natural frequencies; number of chances; posterior probability; updating.

PubMed Disclaimer

References

    1. Barbey A. K., Sloman S. (2007). Base-rate respect: from ecological rationality to dual processes. Behav. Brain Sci. 30, 241–297. 10.1017/S0140525X07001653 - DOI - PubMed
    1. Barth H., Le Mont K., Lipton J., Spelke E. S. (2005). Abstract number and arithmetic in preschool children. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A. 102, 14116–14121. 10.1073/pnas.0505512102 - DOI - PMC - PubMed
    1. Bonawitz E., Denison S., Griffith T. L., Gopnick A. (2013). Rational variability in children's causal inferences: the sampling hypothesis. Cognition 126, 285–300. 10.1016/j.cognition.2012.10.010 - DOI - PubMed
    1. Brainerd C. J. (1981). Working memory and the developmental analysis of probability judgment. Psychol. Rev. 88, 463–502. 10.1037/0033-295X.88.6.463 - DOI - PubMed
    1. Bramwell R., West H., Salmon P. (2006). Health professionals' and service users' interpretation of screening test results: experimental study. Br. Med. J. 333, 284–289. 10.1136/bmj.38884.663102.AE - DOI - PMC - PubMed

LinkOut - more resources