doi: 10.1111/zph.12217.
Epub 2015 Jul 15.
Environmental conditions in favour of a hantavirus outbreak in 2015 in Germany?
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- PMID: 26177110
- DOI: 10.1111/zph.12217
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Environmental conditions in favour of a hantavirus outbreak in 2015 in Germany?
Zoonoses Public Health.
2016 Mar.
Abstract
Bank voles can harbour Puumala virus (PUUV) and vole populations usually peak in years after beech mast. A beech mast occurred in 2014 and a predictive model indicates high vole abundance in 2015. This pattern is similar to the years 2009/2011 when beech mast occurred, bank voles multiplied and human PUUV infections increased a year later. Given similar environmental conditions in 2014/2015, increased risk of human PUUV infections in 2015 is likely. Risk management measures are recommended.
Keywords: Beech fructification; Germany; Puumala virus; bank vole; nephropathia epidemica; outbreak.
© 2015 Blackwell Verlag GmbH.
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