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. 2015 Aug;57(2):186-91.
doi: 10.1016/j.jadohealth.2015.04.015.

Prospective Predictors of Novel Tobacco and Nicotine Product Use in Emerging Adulthood

Sarah E Hampson  1 , Judy A Andrews  2 , Herbert H Severson  2 , Maureen Barckley  2
Affiliations

Prospective Predictors of Novel Tobacco and Nicotine Product Use in Emerging Adulthood

Sarah E Hampson et al. J Adolesc Health. 2015 Aug.

Abstract

Purpose: The purpose of this study was to investigate whether risk factors for cigarette smoking assessed in adolescence predict the use of novel tobacco and nicotine products (hookah, little cigars, and e-cigarettes) in early emerging adulthood.

Methods: In a longitudinal study (N = 862), risk factors were measured in middle and high school, and novel product use was measured in emerging adulthood (mean age 22.4 years). Structural equation modeling was used to test a model predicting lifetime use of any of hookah, little cigars, and e-cigarettes in early emerging adulthood from distal predictors (gender, maternal smoking through Grade 8; already tried alcohol, cigarettes, or marijuana by Grade 8; and sensation seeking at Grade 8) and potential mediators (intentions to smoke cigarettes, drink alcohol or smoke marijuana at Grade 9, and smoking trajectory across high school).

Results: The most prevalent novel tobacco product was hookah (21.7%), followed by little cigars (16.8%) and e-cigarettes (6.6%). Maternal smoking, having already tried substances, and sensation seeking each predicted the use of at least one of these products via an indirect path through intentions to use substances and membership in a high-school smoking trajectory.

Conclusions: Risk factors for cigarette smoking were found to predict novel tobacco use, suggesting that interventions to prevent cigarette smoking could be extended to include common novel tobacco products.

Keywords: E-cigarettes; Emerging adults; Hookah; Little cigars; Predictors.

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Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1
Conceptual model showing hypothesized directional paths from gender, mother’s smoking, already tried substances, and sensation seeking (all measured at Grade 8) through Grade 9 intentions to use substances and high school smoking trajectory.
Figure 2
Figure 2
Trimmed model retaining significant hypothesized paths predicting novel product use defined as use of any of hookah, little cigars, and e-cigarettes.
See this image and copyright information in PMC

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