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. 2016 May;73(5):290-9.
doi: 10.1136/oemed-2015-103074. Epub 2015 Dec 29.

Pleural mesothelioma and lung cancer risks in relation to occupational history and asbestos lung burden

Clare Gilham  1 , Christine Rake  1 , Garry Burdett  2 , Andrew G Nicholson  3 , Leslie Davison  4 , Angelo Franchini  1 , James Carpenter  5 , John Hodgson  6 , Andrew Darnton  6 , Julian Peto  1
Affiliations

Pleural mesothelioma and lung cancer risks in relation to occupational history and asbestos lung burden

Clare Gilham et al. Occup Environ Med. 2016 May.

Abstract

Background: We have conducted a population-based study of pleural mesothelioma patients with occupational histories and measured asbestos lung burdens in occupationally exposed workers and in the general population. The relationship between lung burden and risk, particularly at environmental exposure levels, will enable future mesothelioma rates in people born after 1965 who never installed asbestos to be predicted from their asbestos lung burdens.

Methods: Following personal interview asbestos fibres longer than 5 µm were counted by transmission electron microscopy in lung samples obtained from 133 patients with mesothelioma and 262 patients with lung cancer. ORs for mesothelioma were converted to lifetime risks.

Results: Lifetime mesothelioma risk is approximately 0.02% per 1000 amphibole fibres per gram of dry lung tissue over a more than 100-fold range, from 1 to 4 in the most heavily exposed building workers to less than 1 in 500 in most of the population. The asbestos fibres counted were amosite (75%), crocidolite (18%), other amphiboles (5%) and chrysotile (2%).

Conclusions: The approximate linearity of the dose-response together with lung burden measurements in younger people will provide reasonably reliable predictions of future mesothelioma rates in those born since 1965 whose risks cannot yet be seen in national rates. Burdens in those born more recently will indicate the continuing occupational and environmental hazards under current asbestos control regulations. Our results confirm the major contribution of amosite to UK mesothelioma incidence and the substantial contribution of non-occupational exposure, particularly in women.

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Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1
(A) UK Asbestos imports from 1950 to 2000. (B) US Asbestos imports from 1956 to 2000.
Figure 2
Figure 2
Mesothelioma ORs (95% floating CIs) in men using resected lung cancers as controls, and asbestos lung burden: upper graph linear axes, lower graph logarithmic axes. When the lung cancer risk caused by asbestos is ignored the fit of the linear model is significantly worse (p=0.02; dashed line).
Figure 3
Figure 3
Amosite and crocidolite lung burdens and occupational categories in male mesotheliomas. (Burdens >1 million fibres/g truncated to 1 mf/g).
See this image and copyright information in PMC

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References

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