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Meta-Analysis
. 2016 Apr 15;76(8):2288-2300.
doi: 10.1158/0008-5472.CAN-15-1551. Epub 2016 Feb 26.

A Meta-analysis of Individual Participant Data Reveals an Association between Circulating Levels of IGF-I and Prostate Cancer Risk

Affiliations
Meta-Analysis

A Meta-analysis of Individual Participant Data Reveals an Association between Circulating Levels of IGF-I and Prostate Cancer Risk

Ruth C Travis et al. Cancer Res. .

Abstract

The role of insulin-like growth factors (IGF) in prostate cancer development is not fully understood. To investigate the association between circulating concentrations of IGFs (IGF-I, IGF-II, IGFBP-1, IGFBP-2, and IGFBP-3) and prostate cancer risk, we pooled individual participant data from 17 prospective and two cross-sectional studies, including up to 10,554 prostate cancer cases and 13,618 control participants. Conditional logistic regression was used to estimate the ORs for prostate cancer based on the study-specific fifth of each analyte. Overall, IGF-I, IGF-II, IGFBP-2, and IGFBP-3 concentrations were positively associated with prostate cancer risk (Ptrend all ≤ 0.005), and IGFBP-1 was inversely associated weakly with risk (Ptrend = 0.05). However, heterogeneity between the prospective and cross-sectional studies was evident (Pheterogeneity = 0.03), unless the analyses were restricted to prospective studies (with the exception of IGF-II, Pheterogeneity = 0.02). For prospective studies, the OR for men in the highest versus the lowest fifth of each analyte was 1.29 (95% confidence interval, 1.16-1.43) for IGF-I, 0.81 (0.68-0.96) for IGFBP-1, and 1.25 (1.12-1.40) for IGFBP-3. These associations did not differ significantly by time-to-diagnosis or tumor stage or grade. After mutual adjustment for each of the other analytes, only IGF-I remained associated with risk. Our collaborative study represents the largest pooled analysis of the relationship between prostate cancer risk and circulating concentrations of IGF-I, providing strong evidence that IGF-I is highly likely to be involved in prostate cancer development. Cancer Res; 76(8); 2288-300. ©2016 AACR.

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Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1. Odds ratios (95% confidence intervals) for prostate cancer associated with study-specific fifths of concentrations of selected insulin-like growth factors and their binding proteins in all studies and then restricted to prospective studies
Estimates are from logistic regression conditioned on the matching variables within each study and without mutual adjustment for the other analytes. Ptrend was calcuated by replacing the fifths of concentration with a continuous variable that was scored 0, 0.25, 0.5, 0.75 and 1 in the conditional logistic regression model. 80%le = 80 percentile; CI = confidence interval; Ptr = Ptrend.
Figure 2
Figure 2. Study-specific odds ratios (95% confidence intervals) for prostate cancer associated with an 80 percentile increase in IGF-I
Estimates are from logistic regression conditioned on the matching variables within each study and without mutual adjustment for the other analytes. Heterogeneity in linear trends between studies was tested by comparing the X2 values for models with and without a (studies) × (linear trend) interaction term. For expansion of study names see Table 1.
Figure 3
Figure 3. Odds ratios (95% confidence intervals) for prostate cancer associated with an 80 percentile increase in IGF-I in prospective studies, subdivided by various factors
Estimates are from logistic regression conditioned on the matching variables within each study and without mutual adjustment for the other analytes. Odds ratios are for risk of prostate cancer overall, unless otherwise specified. Tests for heterogeneity for case-defined factors were obtained by fitting separate models for each subgroup and assuming independence of the ORs using a method analogous to a meta-analysis Tests for heterogeneity for non-case defined factors were assessed with a χ2-test of interaction between subgroup and the continuous trend test variable.
Figure 4
Figure 4. Odds ratios (95% confidence intervals) for aggressive prostate cancer associated with study-specific fifths of concentrations of selected insulin-like growth factors and their binding proteins
Estimates are from logistic regression conditioned on the matching variables within each study and without mutual adjustment for the other analytes.

References

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