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. 2016 Apr;17(4):484-495.
doi: 10.1016/S1470-2045(15)00581-1. Epub 2016 Mar 12.

Prognostic value of medulloblastoma extent of resection after accounting for molecular subgroup: a retrospective integrated clinical and molecular analysis

Eric M Thompson  1 Thomas Hielscher  2 Eric Bouffet  3 Marc Remke  4 Betty Luu  5 Sridharan Gururangan  6 Roger E McLendon  7 Darell D Bigner  8 Eric S Lipp  7 Sebastien Perreault  9 Yoon-Jae Cho  10 Gerald Grant  11 Seung-Ki Kim  12 Ji Yeoun Lee  12 Amulya A Nageswara Rao  13 Caterina Giannini  14 Kay Ka Wai Li  15 Ho-Keung Ng  15 Yu Yao  16 Toshihiro Kumabe  17 Teiji Tominaga  18 Wieslawa A Grajkowska  19 Marta Perek-Polnik  20 David C Y Low  21 Wan Tew Seow  21 Kenneth T E Chang  22 Jaume Mora  23 Ian F Pollack  24 Ronald L Hamilton  25 Sarah Leary  26 Andrew S Moore  27 Wendy J Ingram  28 Andrew R Hallahan  27 Anne Jouvet  29 Michelle Fèvre-Montange  30 Alexandre Vasiljevic  31 Cecile Faure-Conter  32 Tomoko Shofuda  33 Naoki Kagawa  34 Naoya Hashimoto  34 Nada Jabado  35 Alexander G Weil  36 Tenzin Gayden  36 Takafumi Wataya  37 Tarek Shalaby  38 Michael Grotzer  38 Karel Zitterbart  39 Jaroslav Sterba  39 Leos Kren  40 Tibor Hortobágyi  41 Almos Klekner  41 Bognár László  41 Tímea Pócza  42 Peter Hauser  42 Ulrich Schüller  43 Shin Jung  44 Woo-Youl Jang  44 Pim J French  45 Johan M Kros  46 Marie-Lise C van Veelen  45 Luca Massimi  47 Jeffrey R Leonard  48 Joshua B Rubin  49 Rajeev Vibhakar  50 Lola B Chambless  51 Michael K Cooper  52 Reid C Thompson  51 Claudia C Faria  53 Alice Carvalho  54 Sofia Nunes  55 José Pimentel  56 Xing Fan  57 Karin M Muraszko  58 Enrique López-Aguilar  59 David Lyden  60 Livia Garzia  5 David J H Shih  61 Noriyuki Kijima  5 Christian Schneider  62 Jennifer Adamski  63 Paul A Northcott  64 Marcel Kool  64 David T W Jones  64 Jennifer A Chan  65 Ana Nikolic  65 Maria Luisa Garre  66 Erwin G Van Meir  67 Satoru Osuka  67 Jeffrey J Olson  68 Arman Jahangiri  69 Brandyn A Castro  69 Nalin Gupta  70 William A Weiss  71 Iska Moxon-Emre  72 Donald J Mabbott  72 Alvaro Lassaletta  63 Cynthia E Hawkins  73 Uri Tabori  3 James Drake  62 Abhaya Kulkarni  62 Peter Dirks  74 James T Rutka  75 Andrey Korshunov  76 Stefan M Pfister  77 Roger J Packer  78 Vijay Ramaswamy  79 Michael D Taylor  80
Affiliations

Prognostic value of medulloblastoma extent of resection after accounting for molecular subgroup: a retrospective integrated clinical and molecular analysis

Eric M Thompson et al. Lancet Oncol. 2016 Apr.

Erratum in

Abstract

Background: Patients with incomplete surgical resection of medulloblastoma are controversially regarded as having a marker of high-risk disease, which leads to patients undergoing aggressive surgical resections, so-called second-look surgeries, and intensified chemoradiotherapy. All previous studies assessing the clinical importance of extent of resection have not accounted for molecular subgroup. We analysed the prognostic value of extent of resection in a subgroup-specific manner.

Methods: We retrospectively identified patients who had a histological diagnosis of medulloblastoma and complete data about extent of resection and survival from centres participating in the Medulloblastoma Advanced Genomics International Consortium. We collected from resections done between April, 1997, and February, 2013, at 35 international institutions. We established medulloblastoma subgroup affiliation by gene expression profiling on frozen or formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded tissues. We classified extent of resection on the basis of postoperative imaging as gross total resection (no residual tumour), near-total resection (<1·5 cm(2) tumour remaining), or sub-total resection (≥1·5 cm(2) tumour remaining). We did multivariable analyses of overall survival and progression-free survival using the variables molecular subgroup (WNT, SHH, group 4, and group 3), age (<3 vs ≥3 years old), metastatic status (metastases vs no metastases), geographical location of therapy (North America/Australia vs rest of the world), receipt of chemotherapy (yes vs no) and receipt of craniospinal irradiation (<30 Gy or >30 Gy vs no craniospinal irradiation). The primary analysis outcome was the effect of extent of resection by molecular subgroup and the effects of other clinical variables on overall and progression-free survival.

Findings: We included 787 patients with medulloblastoma (86 with WNT tumours, 242 with SHH tumours, 163 with group 3 tumours, and 296 with group 4 tumours) in our multivariable Cox models of progression-free and overall survival. We found that the prognostic benefit of increased extent of resection for patients with medulloblastoma is attenuated after molecular subgroup affiliation is taken into account. We identified a progression-free survival benefit for gross total resection over sub-total resection (hazard ratio [HR] 1·45, 95% CI 1·07-1·96, p=0·16) but no overall survival benefit (HR 1·23, 0·87-1·72, p=0·24). We saw no progression-free survival or overall survival benefit for gross total resection compared with near-total resection (HR 1·05, 0·71-1·53, p=0·8158 for progression-free survival and HR 1·14, 0·75-1·72, p=0·55 for overall survival). No significant survival benefit existed for greater extent of resection for patients with WNT, SHH, or group 3 tumours (HR 1·03, 0·67-1·58, p=0·89 for sub-total resection vs gross total resection). For patients with group 4 tumours, gross total resection conferred a benefit to progression-free survival compared with sub-total resection (HR 1·97, 1·22-3·17, p=0·0056), especially for those with metastatic disease (HR 2·22, 1·00-4·93, p=0·050). However, gross total resection had no effect on overall survival compared with sub-total resection in patients with group 4 tumours (HR 1·67, 0·93-2·99, p=0·084).

Interpretation: The prognostic benefit of increased extent of resection for patients with medulloblastoma is attenuated after molecular subgroup affiliation is taken into account. Although maximum safe surgical resection should remain the standard of care, surgical removal of small residual portions of medulloblastoma is not recommended when the likelihood of neurological morbidity is high because there is no definitive benefit to gross total resection compared with near-total resection.

Funding: Canadian Cancer Society Research Institute, Terry Fox Research Institute, Canadian Institutes of Health Research, National Institutes of Health, Pediatric Brain Tumor Foundation, and the Garron Family Chair in Childhood Cancer Research.

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Conflict of interest statement

Declaration of Interests

XF reports grants from the National Institute of Health. WJI reports grans from Children s Hospital Foundation Queensland and The BrainChild Foundation. JO reports personal fees from American Cancer Society, non-financial support from Merck, grants from Genetech, grants from Millenium/Takeda, and grants from the National Institute of Health.

Figures

Fig 1
Fig 1
Five-year PFS and OS survival curves for the entire cohort by extent of resection (A and C) and by molecular subgroup (B and D).
Fig 2
Fig 2
Five-year PFS and OS survival curves for EOR by subgroup. There was not a significant PFS or OS advantage of those patients that had NTR or STR compared to GTR for the WNT group (A and B), the SHH group (C and D), or Group 3 (E and F). There was an association of increased EOR and both PFS and OS for Group 4 (G and H).
Fig 3
Fig 3
Nomograms for the multivariable Cox model. The presence or absence of each variable is scored (top row). The cumulative score from each variable is used to determine 3 and 5-year PFS (A) and OS (B) probabilities.
Fig 4
Fig 4
Multivariable Forest Plots directly comparing EOR for PFS (A) and OS (B). Circles to the right of the grey vertical line indicate increased risk while those to the left of the grey vertical line indicated decreased risk.

Comment in

References

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