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. 2016 Apr 7;6(4):e010978.
doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2015-010978.

Impact of the great east Japan earthquake on the body mass index of preschool children: a nationwide nursery school survey

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Impact of the great east Japan earthquake on the body mass index of preschool children: a nationwide nursery school survey

Hiroshi Yokomichi et al. BMJ Open. .

Abstract

Objective: To evaluate the impact of the 2011 great east Japan earthquake on body mass index (BMI) of preschool children.

Design: Retrospective cohort study and ecological study.

Setting: Affected prefectures (Fukushima, Miyagi and Iwate) and unaffected prefectures in northeast Japan.

Participants: The cohort study assessed 2033 and 1707 boys and 1909 and 1658 girls in 3 affected prefectures and unaffected prefectures, respectively, all aged 3-4 years at the time of the earthquake. The ecological study examined random samples of schoolchildren from the affected prefectures.

Primary and secondary outcome measures: The cohort study compared postdisaster changes in BMIs and the prevalence of overweight and obese children. The ecological study evaluated postdisaster changes in the prevalence of overweight children.

Results: 1 month after the earthquake, significantly increased BMIs were observed among girls (+0.087 kg/m(2) vs unaffected prefectures) in Fukushima and among boys and girls (+0.165 and +0.124 kg/m(2), respectively vs unaffected prefectures) in Iwate. 19 months after the earthquake, significantly increased BMIs were detected among boys and girls (+0.137 and +0.200 kg/m(2), respectively vs unaffected prefectures) in Fukushima, whereas significantly decreased BMIs were observed among boys and girls (-0.218 and -0.082 kg/m(2), respectively vs unaffected prefectures) in Miyagi. 1 month after the earthquake, Fukushima, Miyagi and Iwate had a slightly increased prevalence of overweight boys, whereas Fukushima had a slightly decreased prevalence of overweight girls, compared with the unaffected prefectures. The ecological study detected increases in the prevalence of overweight boys and girls in Fukushima who were 6-11 and 6-10 years of age, respectively.

Conclusions: These results suggest that in the affected prefectures, preschool children gained weight immediately after the earthquake. The long-term impact of the earthquake on early childhood growth was more variable among the affected prefectures, possibly as a result of different speeds of recovery.

Keywords: Fukushima nuclear accident; body mass index; earthquake; growth; preschool child.

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Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1
Affected and unaffected prefectures in northeast Japan. The proportions of evacuees are represented according to the numbers of evacuees in March 2012. The areas of the circles are proportional to the population size.
Figure 2
Figure 2
Mean body mass indices (BMIs) of nursery schoolchildren born between 2 April 2006 and 1 April 2007 in each affected prefecture versus unaffected prefectures in northeast Japan.
Figure 3
Figure 3
Estimated changes in body mass index (difference in BMI) after October 2010 among nursery schoolchildren born between 2 April 2006 and 1 April 2007 in each affected prefecture versus unaffected prefectures in northeast Japan. Statistical tests evaluated the p values of the interaction terms in the model. *p<0.05, **p<0.01 and ***p<0.001.
Figure 4
Figure 4
Prevalence of overweight and obese children in Fukushima, Miyagi and Iwate prefectures (red lines) and the unaffected prefectures (blue lines). Solid and dashed lines represent the prevalence of overweight and obese children, respectively. Overweight and obesity were diagnosed according to the child growth standards of the WHO. *p<0.05, **p<0.01 and ***p<0.001.

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