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Observational Study
. 2016 May 9:353:i2214.
doi: 10.1136/bmj.i2214.

Association between the Value-Based Purchasing pay for performance program and patient mortality in US hospitals: observational study

Affiliations
Observational Study

Association between the Value-Based Purchasing pay for performance program and patient mortality in US hospitals: observational study

Jose F Figueroa et al. BMJ. .

Abstract

Objective: To determine the impact of the Hospital Value-Based Purchasing (HVBP) program-the US pay for performance program introduced by Medicare to incentivize higher quality care-on 30 day mortality for three incentivized conditions: acute myocardial infarction, heart failure, and pneumonia.

Design: Observational study.

Setting: 4267 acute care hospitals in the United States: 2919 participated in the HVBP program and 1348 were ineligible and used as controls (44 in general hospitals in Maryland and 1304 critical access hospitals across the United States).

Participants: 2 430 618 patients admitted to US hospitals from 2008 through 2013.

Main outcome measures: 30 day risk adjusted mortality for acute myocardial infarction, heart failure, and pneumonia using a patient level linear spline analysis to examine the association between the introduction of the HVBP program and 30 day mortality. Non-incentivized, medical conditions were the comparators. A secondary outcome measure was to determine whether the introduction of the HVBP program was particularly beneficial for a subgroup of hospital-poor performers at baseline-that may benefit the most.

Results: Mortality rates of incentivized conditions in hospitals participating in the HVBP program declined at -0.13% for each quarter during the preintervention period and -0.03% point difference for each quarter during the post-intervention period. For non-HVBP hospitals, mortality rates declined at -0.14% point difference for each quarter during the preintervention period and -0.01% point difference for each quarter during the post-intervention period. The difference in the mortality trends between the two groups was small and non-significant (difference in difference in trends -0.03% point difference for each quarter, 95% confidence interval -0.08% to 0.13% point difference, P=0.35). In no subgroups of hospitals was HVBP associated with better outcomes, including poor performers at baseline.

Conclusions: Evidence that HVBP has led to lower mortality rates is lacking. Nations considering similar pay for performance programs may want to consider alternative models to achieve improved patient outcomes.

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Conflict of interest statement

Competing interests: All authors have completed the ICJME uniform disclosure form at www.icmje.org/coi_disclosure.pdf and declare: no support from any organization for the submitted work; no financial relationships with any organizations that might have an interest in the submitted work in the previous three years; no other relationships or activities that could appear to have influenced the submitted work.

Figures

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Fig 1 Risk adjusted 30 day mortality rates for target conditions between hospitals participating or not participating in the Hospital Value-Based Purchasing (HVBP) program, 2008 to 2013
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Fig 2 Mortality by target conditions at 30 days among hospitals with poor performance at baseline, 2008-13. HVBP=Hospital Value-Based Purchasing

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References

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