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. 2016 May 20:9:137-46.
doi: 10.2147/IJGM.S96741. eCollection 2016.

Diagnostic errors in older patients: a systematic review of incidence and potential causes in seven prevalent diseases

Thomas R Skinner  1 , Ian A Scott  2 , Jennifer H Martin  3
Affiliations

Diagnostic errors in older patients: a systematic review of incidence and potential causes in seven prevalent diseases

Thomas R Skinner et al. Int J Gen Med. .

Abstract

Background: Misdiagnosis, either over- or underdiagnosis, exposes older patients to increased risk of inappropriate or omitted investigations and treatments, psychological distress, and financial burden.

Objective: To evaluate the frequency and nature of diagnostic errors in 16 conditions prevalent in older patients by undertaking a systematic literature review.

Data sources and study selection: Cohort studies, cross-sectional studies, or systematic reviews of such studies published in Medline between September 1993 and May 2014 were searched using key search terms of "diagnostic error", "misdiagnosis", "accuracy", "validity", or "diagnosis" and terms relating to each disease.

Data synthesis: A total of 938 articles were retrieved. Diagnostic error rates of >10% for both over- and underdiagnosis were seen in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, dementia, Parkinson's disease, heart failure, stroke/transient ischemic attack, and acute myocardial infarction. Diabetes was overdiagnosed in <5% of cases.

Conclusion: Over- and underdiagnosis are common in older patients. Explanations for over-diagnosis include subjective diagnostic criteria and the use of criteria not validated in older patients. Underdiagnosis was associated with long preclinical phases of disease or lack of sensitive diagnostic criteria. Factors that predispose to misdiagnosis in older patients must be emphasized in education and clinical guidelines.

Keywords: elderly; misdiagnosis; older patient; overdiagnosis; underdiagnosis.

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Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1
Explanation of overdiagnosis and underdiagnosis rate calculation. Abbreviation: PPV, positive predictive value; NPV, negative predictive value.
Figure 2
Figure 2
Article selection flowchart.
Figure 3
Figure 3
PPV with 95% CIs for COPD subgroup. Abbreviations: PPV, positive predictive value; CI, confidence interval; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.
Figure 4
Figure 4
PPV with 95% CIs for heart failure subgroup. Abbreviations: PPV, positive predictive value; CI, confidence interval.
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