[Predicting the Prognosis of Terminal Cancer Patients with Chemotherapy]

Abstract

To determine the chemotherapy indication of terminal cancer patients, predicting the prognosis is meaningful. We intended to establish a suitable prognosis prediction index for these patients. From June 2015 to January 2016, we examined the prognosis in 7 patients who were administered chemotherapy drugs within 4 weeks before or after the prognosis calculation. Palliative prognostic index(PPI)was calculated prospectively, and prognosis in palliative care study(PiPS)was calculated prospectively or retrospectively. If patients had laboratory data within 4 days before prognosis calculation, they were assessed with PiPS-B. If patients did not have recent data, they were assessed with PiPS-A. The absolute agreement of prognosis index with actual survival was 100% in PPI, and 40.0% in PiPS. All patients who were administered chemotherapy after the PPI calculation were considered to have survived for more than 42 days. We concluded that PPI was a suitable prognosis prediction index for terminal cancer patients with chemotherapy. PPI was useful for determining the chemotherapy indication in these patients.