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Meta-Analysis
. 2016 Nov;25(11):1503-1510.
doi: 10.1158/1055-9965.EPI-16-0147. Epub 2016 Aug 22.

Genetic Risk Score Mendelian Randomization Shows that Obesity Measured as Body Mass Index, but not Waist:Hip Ratio, Is Causal for Endometrial Cancer

Jodie N Painter  1 Tracy A O'Mara  1 Louise Marquart  1 Penelope M WebbJohn Attia  2   3 Sarah E Medland  1 Timothy Cheng  4 Joe Dennis  5 Elizabeth G Holliday  2   3 Mark McEvoy  3 Rodney J Scott  2   6   7   8 Shahana Ahmed  9 Catherine S Healey  9 Mitul Shah  9 Maggie Gorman  4 Lynn Martin  4 Shirley V Hodgson  10 Matthias W Beckmann  11 Arif B Ekici  12 Peter A Fasching  11   13 Alexander Hein  11 Matthias Rübner  11 Kamila Czene  14 Hatef Darabi  14 Per Hall  14 Jingmei Li  14 Thilo Dörk  15 Matthias Dürst  16 Peter Hillemanns  17 Ingo B Runnebaum  16 Frederic Amant  18 Daniela Annibali  18 Jeroen Depreeuw  18   19   20 Diether Lambrechts  19   20 Patrick Neven  18 Julie M Cunningham  21 Sean C Dowdy  22 Ellen L Goode  23 Brooke L Fridley  24 Stacey J Winham  23 Tormund S Njølstad  25   26 Helga B Salvesen  25   26 Jone Trovik  25   26 Henrica M J Werner  25   26 Katie A Ashton  2   7   8 Geoffrey Otton  27 Anthony Proietto  27 Miriam Mints  28 Emma ThamManjeet K Bolla  5 Kyriaki Michailidou  5 Qin Wang  5 Jonathan P Tyrer  9 John L Hopper  29 Julian Peto  30 Anthony J Swerdlow  31   32 Barbara Burwinkel  33   34 Hermann Brenner  35   36   37 Alfons Meindl  38 Hiltrud Brauch  37   39   40 Annika Lindblom  41 Jenny Chang-Claude  42   43 Fergus J Couch  21   23 Graham G Giles  29   44   45 Vessela N Kristensen  46   47   48 Angela Cox  49 Paul D P Pharoah  9 Ian Tomlinson  4 Alison M Dunning  9 Douglas F Easton  5   9 Deborah J ThompsonAmanda B SpurdleAOCS Groupfor RENDOCASNational Study of Endometrial Cancer Genetics Group (NSECG)Australian National Endometrial Cancer Study Group (ANECS)
Affiliations
Meta-Analysis

Genetic Risk Score Mendelian Randomization Shows that Obesity Measured as Body Mass Index, but not Waist:Hip Ratio, Is Causal for Endometrial Cancer

Jodie N Painter et al. Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev. 2016 Nov.

Abstract

Background: The strongest known risk factor for endometrial cancer is obesity. To determine whether SNPs associated with increased body mass index (BMI) or waist-hip ratio (WHR) are associated with endometrial cancer risk, independent of measured BMI, we investigated relationships between 77 BMI and 47 WHR SNPs and endometrial cancer in 6,609 cases and 37,926 country-matched controls.

Methods: Logistic regression analysis and fixed effects meta-analysis were used to test for associations between endometrial cancer risk and (i) individual BMI or WHR SNPs, (ii) a combined weighted genetic risk score (wGRS) for BMI or WHR. Causality of BMI for endometrial cancer was assessed using Mendelian randomization, with BMIwGRS as instrumental variable.

Results: The BMIwGRS was significantly associated with endometrial cancer risk (P = 3.4 × 10-17). Scaling the effect of the BMIwGRS on endometrial cancer risk by its effect on BMI, the endometrial cancer OR per 5 kg/m2 of genetically predicted BMI was 2.06 [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.89-2.21], larger than the observed effect of BMI on endometrial cancer risk (OR = 1.55; 95% CI, 1.44-1.68, per 5 kg/m2). The association attenuated but remained significant after adjusting for BMI (OR = 1.22; 95% CI, 1.10-1.39; P = 5.3 × 10-4). There was evidence of directional pleiotropy (P = 1.5 × 10-4). BMI SNP rs2075650 was associated with endometrial cancer at study-wide significance (P < 4.0 × 10-4), independent of BMI. Endometrial cancer was not significantly associated with individual WHR SNPs or the WHRwGRS.

Conclusions: BMI, but not WHR, is causally associated with endometrial cancer risk, with evidence that some BMI-associated SNPs alter endometrial cancer risk via mechanisms other than measurable BMI.

Impact: The causal association between BMI SNPs and endometrial cancer has possible implications for endometrial cancer risk modeling. Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev; 25(11); 1503-10. ©2016 AACR.

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Conflict of interest statement

Statement: No potential conflicts of interest were disclosed by the other authors.

Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1. Observed and predicted risks of increasing BMI on endometrial cancer
The predicted effect of a 5kg/m2 increase in BMI on EC risk was estimated by scaling the effect of the per weighted allele increase in the BMIwGRS on BMI (4.83 kg/m2) by the effect of the per weighted allele increase in the BMIwGRS on EC (OR 2.11) in our dataset (exp[(4.83/5)*ln(2.11)]). The predicted effect (grey arrow) of a per 5kg/m2 increase in BMI on endometrial cancer risk (OR 2.06) is larger than that observed in our study (OR 1.55).

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