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. 2016 Nov 15;76(22):6598-6606.
doi: 10.1158/0008-5472.CAN-16-0633. Epub 2016 Aug 28.

HPV-Related Oropharynx Cancer in the United Kingdom: An Evolution in the Understanding of Disease Etiology

Affiliations

HPV-Related Oropharynx Cancer in the United Kingdom: An Evolution in the Understanding of Disease Etiology

Andrew G Schache et al. Cancer Res. .

Abstract

A rising incidence of oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) incidence has occurred throughout the developed world, where it has been attributed to an increasing impact of human papillomavirus (HPV) on disease etiology. This report presents the findings of a multicenter cross-sectional retrospective study aimed at determining the proportion of HPV-positive and HPV-negative OPSCC within the United Kingdom. Archival tumor tissue blocks from 1,602 patients previously diagnosed with OPSCC (2002-2011) were collated from 11 centers. HPV status was determined with three validated commercial tests to provide valid data for 1,474 cases in total. Corresponding national incidence data from the same decade were obtained from UK Cancer registries. The overall proportion of HPV+ OPSCC between 2002 and 2011 was 51.8% [95% confidence interval (CI), 49.3-54.4], and this remained unchanged throughout the decade [unadjusted RR = 1.00 (95% CI, 0.99-1.02)]. However, over the same period, the incidence of OPSCC in the broader UK population underwent a 2-fold increase [age-standardized rate 2002: 2.1 (95% CI, 1.9-2.2); 2011: 4.1 (95% CI, 4.0-4.3)]. Although the number of OPSCCs diagnosed within the United Kingdom from 2002 to 2011 nearly doubled, the proportion of HPV+ cases remained static at approximately 50%. Our results argue that the rapidly increasing incidence of OPSCC in the United Kingdom cannot be solely attributable to the influence of HPV. The parallel increase in HPV+ and HPV- cases we documented warrants further investigation, so that appropriate future prevention strategies for both types of disease can be implemented. Cancer Res; 76(22); 6598-606. ©2016 AACR.

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Conflict of interest statement

Disclosure of Potential Conflicts of Interest

N.G. Powell reports receiving a commercial research grant from GlaxoSmithKline, has received speakers bureau honoraria from GlaxoSmithKline and Sanofi Pasteur MSD, and is a consultant/advisory board member for Sanofi Pasteur MSD. K.S. Cuschieri reports receiving commercial research grants from GeneFirst and Euroimmun. M. Robinson is a consultant/advisory board member for Leica Biosystems Ltd. H. Mehanna reports receiving commercial research grants from GSK Biologicals, GSL PLC, MSD, Sanofi Pasteur, and Silence Therapeutics and has received speakers bureau honoraria from MSD, Merck, and Sanofi Pasteur. H. Cubie has received speakers bureau honoraria from the GSK expert panel. E. Junor has provided expert testimony as a reviewer of Belgium Head and Neck Guideline. C.M.L. West has received speakers bureau honoraria from Merck. T.M. Jones reports receiving a commercial research grant from GSK and has received speakers bureau honoraria from Sanofi Pasteur. No potential conflicts of interest were disclosed by the other authors.

Figures

Figure 1.
Figure 1.
Study schema. The HPV testing algorithm was applied in three tiers. Samples (1,474/1,529) were successfully classified as either HPV positive (red boxes) or negative (blue boxes). A total of 55 samples gave invalid data (gray boxes).
Figure 2.
Figure 2.
Proportion of OPSCC testing HPV positive over time, by individual tests and algorithm. The red line represents the proportion of samples classified as HPV positive using the algorithm shown in Fig. 1. Other lines show the results of individual tests.
Figure 3.
Figure 3.
Incidence of SSC of the oropharynx, larynx, and mouth (United Kingdom, 2002–2011). LSCC, laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma. Mouth comprises malignant neoplasms of the gum, floor of mouth, palate (excluding soft palate and uvula), and other unspecified parts of the mouth.
Figure 4.
Figure 4.
Estimated incidence of OPSCC by HPV status (United Kingdom, 2002–2011). For each year, the gender-specific proportion of HPV-positive samples was multiplied by the gender-specific incidence to estimate ASR for both HPV-positive and -negative OPSCC. Incidence of cancers of the mouth is also shown.

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