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. 2017 Jun;73(2):431-440.
doi: 10.1111/biom.12594. Epub 2016 Oct 17.

Inference in randomized trials with death and missingness

Affiliations

Inference in randomized trials with death and missingness

Chenguang Wang et al. Biometrics. 2017 Jun.

Abstract

In randomized studies involving severely ill patients, functional outcomes are often unobserved due to missed clinic visits, premature withdrawal, or death. It is well known that if these unobserved functional outcomes are not handled properly, biased treatment comparisons can be produced. In this article, we propose a procedure for comparing treatments that is based on a composite endpoint that combines information on both the functional outcome and survival. We further propose a missing data imputation scheme and sensitivity analysis strategy to handle the unobserved functional outcomes not due to death. Illustrations of the proposed method are given by analyzing data from a recent non-small cell lung cancer clinical trial and a recent trial of sedation interruption among mechanically ventilated patients.

Keywords: Composite endpoint; Death-truncated data; Missing data; Sensitivity analysis.

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Figures

Figure 1:
Figure 1:
Cumulative distribution function of the composite endpoint for each treatment group based on the multiple imputation algorithm with the benchmark assumptions. The composite endpoint is labeled according to the survival time L among patients that die and the functional endpoint Z among patients that survive to 12 weeks.
Figure 2:
Figure 2:
Treatment-specific densities of the imputed Z (average change in LBM from baseline) for different choices of the sensitivity parameters βT
Figure 3:
Figure 3:
Sensitivity analysis: Panel (A) presents estimates of θ (with 95% confidence intervals) for various choices of the sensitivity analysis parameters. Note that β1 and β0 are the sensitivity analysis parameters for the anamorelin and Placebo groups, respectively. Panel (B) presents the treatment-specific estimates of the median (with 95% confidence intervals) of the composite endpoint for various choices of sensitivity analysis parameters. Panel (C) presents the contour plot of the p-values obtained by testing the null hypothesis of θ = 0 as function of treatment-specific sensitivity analysis parameters.

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