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Randomized Controlled Trial
. 2017 Jan;18(1):54-65.
doi: 10.1016/j.jpain.2016.10.002. Epub 2016 Oct 17.

Identifying Treatment Effect Modifiers in the STarT Back Trial: A Secondary Analysis

Affiliations
Randomized Controlled Trial

Identifying Treatment Effect Modifiers in the STarT Back Trial: A Secondary Analysis

Jason M Beneciuk et al. J Pain. 2017 Jan.

Abstract

Identification of patient characteristics influencing treatment outcomes is a top low back pain (LBP) research priority. Results from the STarT Back trial support the effectiveness of prognostic stratified care for LBP compared with current best care, however, patient characteristics associated with treatment response have not yet been explored. The purpose of this secondary analysis was to identify treatment effect modifiers within the STarT Back trial at 4-month follow-up (n = 688). Treatment response was dichotomized using back-specific physical disability measured using the Roland-Morris Disability Questionnaire (≥7). Candidate modifiers were identified using previous literature and evaluated using logistic regression with statistical interaction terms to provide preliminary evidence of treatment effect modification. Socioeconomic status (SES) was identified as an effect modifier for disability outcomes (odds ratio [OR] = 1.71, P = .028). High SES patients receiving prognostic stratified care were 2.5 times less likely to have a poor outcome compared with low SES patients receiving best current care (OR = .40, P = .006). Education level (OR = 1.33, P = .109) and number of pain medications (OR = .64, P = .140) met our criteria for effect modification with weaker evidence (.20 > P ≥ .05). These findings provide preliminary evidence for SES, education, and number of pain medications as treatment effect modifiers of prognostic stratified care delivered in the STarT Back Trial.

Perspective: This analysis provides preliminary exploratory findings about the characteristics of patients who might least likely benefit from targeted treatment using prognostic stratified care for LBP.

Keywords: Low back pain; socioeconomic status; stratified care; subgrouping; treatment effect modification.

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Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1
Poor treatment response by socioeconomic status
Figure 2
Figure 2
Decomposed treatment response by socioeconomic status interactions. Reference: Control /Low SES SES = socioeconomic status; OR = odds ratio; CI = confidence interval.
Figure 3
Figure 3
Poor treatment response by level of education.
Figure 4
Figure 4
Poor treatment response by number of pain medications.

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