Longitudinal transition trajectory of gouty arthritis and its comorbidities: a population-based study

Abstract

The aim of the study was to investigate the longitudinal transition trajectory of gout and its comorbidities in male patients with gout in different age groups. A total of 3973 male patients who received a new diagnosis of gouty arthritis were identified from the Taiwan Longitudinal Health Insurance Database and divided into two age cohorts (<50 and ≥50 years). Each patient was individually followed from 2000 to 2009 to identify associated comorbidities, namely hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, diabetes mellitus, cardiovascular diseases, and chronic kidney disease. Two outcome measurements of stroke and all-cause cancer were further identified until 2010. The transition trajectory was divided into the following five phenotype groups: persistent hypertension combined with a high prevalence of various gout-related comorbidities, persistent hypercholesterolemia combined with a moderate prevalence of various gout-related comorbidities, persistent low prevalence of various gout-related comorbidities, moderate to high prevalence of various gout-related comorbidities, and low to high prevalence of various gout-related comorbidities. Although the younger and older patients had a similar longitudinal transition trajectory of gout-related comorbidities, the older patients had a higher 10-year likelihood of transition from a low or moderate to a high prevalence of various gout-related comorbidities. In addition, the incidences of stroke and all-cause cancer were higher in the groups with high and moderate to high prevalences of various gout-related comorbidities than in the other groups. The occurrence of gouty arthritis in different life stages can cause cluster effects involving varying degrees of comorbidities over time. The findings of the current study can provide additional knowledge and increase clinical awareness regarding the early assessment and management of gout-related comorbidities in clinical practice.

Keywords: Cancer; Comorbidities; Gout; Latent transition analysis; Stroke.