Trend analysis and survival of primary gallbladder cancer in the United States: a 1973-2009 population-based study

Abstract

Primary gallbladder cancer is an aggressive and uncommon cancer with poor outcomes. Our study examines epidemiology, trend, and survival of gallbladder cancer in the United States from 1973 to 2009. We utilized the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results database (SEER). Frequency and rate analyses on demographics, stage, and survival were compared among non-Hispanic whites, Hispanics, African American, and Asian/Pacific Islanders. A total of 18,124 cases were reported in SEER from 1973 to 2009 comprising 1.4% of all reported gastrointestinal cancers. Gallbladder cancer was more common in females than males (71 vs. 29%, respectively). The age-adjusted incidence rate was 1.4 per 100,000, significantly higher in females than males (1.7 vs. 1.0). Trend analysis showed that the incidence rate has been decreasing over the last three decades for males. However, among females, the incidence rate had decreased from 1973 to mid-90s but has remained stable since then. Trend analysis for stage at diagnosis showed that the proportion of late-stage cases has been increasing significantly since 2001 after a decreasing pattern since 1973. Survival has improved considerably over time, and survival is better in females than males and in Asian/Pacific Islanders than other racial groups. The highest survival was in patients who received both surgery and radiation. Trend analysis revealed a recent increase of the incidence of late-stage gallbladder cancer. Highest survival was associated with receiving both surgery and radiation.

Keywords: SEER; Epidemiology; gallbladder cancer; incidence trend; survival trend.

Figure 1

Trend of Incidence rate of gallbladder cancer. As reported in Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results database 1973–2009. Segments calculated by the Joinpoint Regression program on the log‐scale, dotted if the APC differs insignificantly from zero.

Figure 2

Trend of gallbladder cancer stages at diagnosis. As reported in Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results database 1973–2009. Segments calculated by the Joint point Regression Program on the logit‐scale. Solid lines indicate significant trends. Dotted lines indicate insignificant trends (APC differs insignificantly from zero).