Review

. 2017 Mar 31;355(6332):eaai9214.

doi: 10.1126/science.aai9214.

Biodiversity redistribution under climate change: Impacts on ecosystems and human well-being

Gretta T Pecl^{1

2}, Miguel B Araújo^{3

4

5}, Johann D Bell^{6

7}, Julia Blanchard^{8

2}, Timothy C Bonebrake⁹, I-Ching Chen¹⁰, Timothy D Clark^{8

11}, Robert K Colwell^{5

12

13

14}, Finn Danielsen¹⁵, Birgitta Evengård¹⁶, Lorena Falconi¹⁷, Simon Ferrier¹⁸, Stewart Frusher^{8

2}, Raquel A Garcia^{19

20}, Roger B Griffis²¹, Alistair J Hobday^{2

22}, Charlene Janion-Scheepers²³, Marta A Jarzyna²⁴, Sarah Jennings^{2

25}, Jonathan Lenoir²⁶, Hlif I Linnetved²⁷, Victoria Y Martin²⁸, Phillipa C McCormack²⁹, Jan McDonald^{2

29}, Nicola J Mitchell³⁰, Tero Mustonen³¹, John M Pandolfi³², Nathalie Pettorelli³³, Ekaterina Popova³⁴, Sharon A Robinson³⁵, Brett R Scheffers³⁶, Justine D Shaw³⁷, Cascade J B Sorte³⁸, Jan M Strugnell^{39

40}, Jennifer M Sunday⁴¹, Mao-Ning Tuanmu⁴², Adriana Vergés⁴³, Cecilia Villanueva^{8

2}, Thomas Wernberg^{30

44}, Erik Wapstra⁴⁵, Stephen E Williams¹⁷

Affiliations

¹ Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies, Hobart, Tasmania 7001, Australia. gretta.pecl@utas.edu.au.
² Centre for Marine Socioecology, Hobart, Tasmania 7001, Australia.
³ Department of Biogeography and Global Change, Museo Nacional de Ciencias Naturales, Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas, 28006 Madrid, Spain.
⁴ Centro de Investigação em Biodiversidade e Recursos Geneticos, Universidade de Évora, 7000-890 Évora, Portugal.
⁵ Department of Biology, Center for Macroecology, Evolution and Climate, University of Copenhagen, Universitetsparken 15, 2100 Copenhagen O, Denmark.
⁶ Australian National Centre for Ocean Resources and Security, University of Wollongong, New South Wales 2522, Australia.
⁷ Betty and Gordon Moore Center for Science and Oceans, Conservation International, Arlington, VA 22202, USA.
⁸ Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies, Hobart, Tasmania 7001, Australia.
⁹ School of Biological Sciences, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.
¹⁰ Department of Life Sciences, National Cheng Kung University, Tainan 701, Taiwan, Republic of China.
¹¹ Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organization (CSIRO) Agriculture and Food, Hobart, Tasmania 7000, Australia.
¹² Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Connecticut, Storrs, CT 06269, USA.
¹³ University of Colorado Museum of Natural History, Boulder, CO 80309, USA.
¹⁴ Departmento de Ecologia, Universidade Federal de Goiás, CP 131, 74.001-970 Goiânia, Goiás, Brazil.
¹⁵ NORDECO, Copenhagen DK-1159, Denmark.
¹⁶ Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Clinical Microbiology, Umea University, 90187 Umea, Sweden.
¹⁷ College of Marine and Environmental Science, James Cook University, Townsville, Queensland 4811, Australia.
¹⁸ CSIRO Land and Water, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory 2601, Australia.
¹⁹ Centre for Statistics in Ecology, the Environment and Conservation, Department of Statistical Sciences, University of Cape Town, Rondebosch 7701, Cape Town, South Africa.
²⁰ Centre for Invasion Biology, Department of Botany and Zoology, Faculty of Science, Stellenbosch University, Matieland 7602, South Africa.
²¹ National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Fisheries Service, Silver Spring, MD 20912, USA.
²² CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere, Hobart, Tasmania 7000, Australia.
²³ Monash University, School of Biological Sciences, Clayton, Victoria 3800, Australia.
²⁴ Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Yale University, New Haven, CT 06520, USA.
²⁵ Tasmanian School of Business and Economics, University of Tasmania, Hobart, Tasmania 7001, Australia.
²⁶ EDYSAN (FRE 3498 CNRS-UPJV), Université de Picardie Jules Verne, 80037 Amiens Cedex 1, France.
²⁷ Institute of Food and Resource Economics, Faculty of Science, University of Copenhagen, Rolighedsvej 25, DK-1958 Frederiksberg C, Denmark.
²⁸ School of Environment, Science and Engineering, Southern Cross University, Lismore, New South Wales 2480, Australia.
²⁹ Faculty of Law, University of Tasmania, Hobart, Tasmania 7001, Australia.
³⁰ School of Biological Sciences, The University of Western Australia, Crawley, Western Australia 6009, Australia.
³¹ Snowchange Cooperative, University of Eastern Finland, Joensuu, FIN 80100 Finland.
³² School of Biological Sciences, Autralian Research Council (ARC) Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, Queensland 4072, Australia.
³³ Institute of Zoology, Zoological Society of London, Regent's Park, NW1 4RY London, UK.
³⁴ National Oceanography Centre, University of Southampton Waterfront Campus, European Way, Southampton, SO14 3ZH, UK.
³⁵ Centre for Sustainable Ecosystem Solutions, School of Biological Sciences, University of Wollongong, Wollongong, New South Wales 2522, Australia.
³⁶ Department of Wildlife Ecology and Conservation, Institute of Food and Agricultural Sciences, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32611, USA.
³⁷ Centre for Biodiversity and Conservation Science, School of Biological Sciences, The University of Queensland, St Lucia, Queensland 4072, Australia.
³⁸ Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California, Irvine, CA 92697, USA.
³⁹ Centre for Sustainable Tropical Fisheries and Aquaculture, College of Science and Engineering, James Cook University, Townsville, 4811 Queensland, Australia.
⁴⁰ Department of Ecology, Environment and Evolution, School of Life Sciences, La Trobe University, Melbourne, Victoria 3086, Australia.
⁴¹ Biodiversity Research Centre, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia V6T 1Z4, Canada.
⁴² Biodiversity Research Center, Academia Sinica, Taipei 115, Taiwan, Republic of China.
⁴³ Centre for Marine Bio-Innovation and Evolution and Ecology Research Centre, School of Biological, Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of New South Wales, Sydney, New South Wales 2052, Australia.
⁴⁴ Oceans Institute, The University of Western Australia, Perth, Western Australia 6009, Australia.
⁴⁵ School of Biological Sciences, University of Tasmania, Hobart, Tasmania 7001, Australia.

PMID: 28360268
DOI: 10.1126/science.aai9214

Free article

Review

Biodiversity redistribution under climate change: Impacts on ecosystems and human well-being

Gretta T Pecl et al. Science. 2017.

Free article

. 2017 Mar 31;355(6332):eaai9214.

doi: 10.1126/science.aai9214.

Authors

Affiliations

¹ Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies, Hobart, Tasmania 7001, Australia. gretta.pecl@utas.edu.au.
² Centre for Marine Socioecology, Hobart, Tasmania 7001, Australia.
³ Department of Biogeography and Global Change, Museo Nacional de Ciencias Naturales, Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas, 28006 Madrid, Spain.
⁴ Centro de Investigação em Biodiversidade e Recursos Geneticos, Universidade de Évora, 7000-890 Évora, Portugal.
⁵ Department of Biology, Center for Macroecology, Evolution and Climate, University of Copenhagen, Universitetsparken 15, 2100 Copenhagen O, Denmark.
⁶ Australian National Centre for Ocean Resources and Security, University of Wollongong, New South Wales 2522, Australia.
⁷ Betty and Gordon Moore Center for Science and Oceans, Conservation International, Arlington, VA 22202, USA.
⁸ Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies, Hobart, Tasmania 7001, Australia.
⁹ School of Biological Sciences, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.
¹⁰ Department of Life Sciences, National Cheng Kung University, Tainan 701, Taiwan, Republic of China.
¹¹ Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organization (CSIRO) Agriculture and Food, Hobart, Tasmania 7000, Australia.
¹² Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Connecticut, Storrs, CT 06269, USA.
¹³ University of Colorado Museum of Natural History, Boulder, CO 80309, USA.
¹⁴ Departmento de Ecologia, Universidade Federal de Goiás, CP 131, 74.001-970 Goiânia, Goiás, Brazil.
¹⁵ NORDECO, Copenhagen DK-1159, Denmark.
¹⁶ Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Clinical Microbiology, Umea University, 90187 Umea, Sweden.
¹⁷ College of Marine and Environmental Science, James Cook University, Townsville, Queensland 4811, Australia.
¹⁸ CSIRO Land and Water, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory 2601, Australia.
¹⁹ Centre for Statistics in Ecology, the Environment and Conservation, Department of Statistical Sciences, University of Cape Town, Rondebosch 7701, Cape Town, South Africa.
²⁰ Centre for Invasion Biology, Department of Botany and Zoology, Faculty of Science, Stellenbosch University, Matieland 7602, South Africa.
²¹ National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Fisheries Service, Silver Spring, MD 20912, USA.
²² CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere, Hobart, Tasmania 7000, Australia.
²³ Monash University, School of Biological Sciences, Clayton, Victoria 3800, Australia.
²⁴ Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Yale University, New Haven, CT 06520, USA.
²⁵ Tasmanian School of Business and Economics, University of Tasmania, Hobart, Tasmania 7001, Australia.
²⁶ EDYSAN (FRE 3498 CNRS-UPJV), Université de Picardie Jules Verne, 80037 Amiens Cedex 1, France.
²⁷ Institute of Food and Resource Economics, Faculty of Science, University of Copenhagen, Rolighedsvej 25, DK-1958 Frederiksberg C, Denmark.
²⁸ School of Environment, Science and Engineering, Southern Cross University, Lismore, New South Wales 2480, Australia.
²⁹ Faculty of Law, University of Tasmania, Hobart, Tasmania 7001, Australia.
³⁰ School of Biological Sciences, The University of Western Australia, Crawley, Western Australia 6009, Australia.
³¹ Snowchange Cooperative, University of Eastern Finland, Joensuu, FIN 80100 Finland.
³² School of Biological Sciences, Autralian Research Council (ARC) Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, Queensland 4072, Australia.
³³ Institute of Zoology, Zoological Society of London, Regent's Park, NW1 4RY London, UK.
³⁴ National Oceanography Centre, University of Southampton Waterfront Campus, European Way, Southampton, SO14 3ZH, UK.
³⁵ Centre for Sustainable Ecosystem Solutions, School of Biological Sciences, University of Wollongong, Wollongong, New South Wales 2522, Australia.
³⁶ Department of Wildlife Ecology and Conservation, Institute of Food and Agricultural Sciences, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32611, USA.
³⁷ Centre for Biodiversity and Conservation Science, School of Biological Sciences, The University of Queensland, St Lucia, Queensland 4072, Australia.
³⁸ Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California, Irvine, CA 92697, USA.
³⁹ Centre for Sustainable Tropical Fisheries and Aquaculture, College of Science and Engineering, James Cook University, Townsville, 4811 Queensland, Australia.
⁴⁰ Department of Ecology, Environment and Evolution, School of Life Sciences, La Trobe University, Melbourne, Victoria 3086, Australia.
⁴¹ Biodiversity Research Centre, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia V6T 1Z4, Canada.
⁴² Biodiversity Research Center, Academia Sinica, Taipei 115, Taiwan, Republic of China.
⁴³ Centre for Marine Bio-Innovation and Evolution and Ecology Research Centre, School of Biological, Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of New South Wales, Sydney, New South Wales 2052, Australia.
⁴⁴ Oceans Institute, The University of Western Australia, Perth, Western Australia 6009, Australia.
⁴⁵ School of Biological Sciences, University of Tasmania, Hobart, Tasmania 7001, Australia.

PMID: 28360268
DOI: 10.1126/science.aai9214

Abstract

Distributions of Earth's species are changing at accelerating rates, increasingly driven by human-mediated climate change. Such changes are already altering the composition of ecological communities, but beyond conservation of natural systems, how and why does this matter? We review evidence that climate-driven species redistribution at regional to global scales affects ecosystem functioning, human well-being, and the dynamics of climate change itself. Production of natural resources required for food security, patterns of disease transmission, and processes of carbon sequestration are all altered by changes in species distribution. Consideration of these effects of biodiversity redistribution is critical yet lacking in most mitigation and adaptation strategies, including the United Nation's Sustainable Development Goals.

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Biodiversity redistribution under climate change: Impacts on ecosystems and human well-being

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Biodiversity redistribution under climate change: Impacts on ecosystems and human well-being

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