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. 2017 Apr 6;22(14):30506.
doi: 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2017.22.14.30506.

Excess all-cause and influenza-attributable mortality in Europe, December 2016 to February 2017

Lasse S Vestergaard  1 , Jens Nielsen  1 , Tyra G Krause  1 , Laura Espenhain  1 , Katrien Tersago  2 , Natalia Bustos Sierra  2 , Gleb Denissov  3 , Kaire Innos  3 , Mikko J Virtanen  4 , Anne Fouillet  5 , Theodore Lytras  6 , Anna Paldy  7 , Janos Bobvos  7 , Lisa Domegan  8 , Joan O'Donnell  8 , Matteo Scortichini  9 , Annamaria de Martino  10 , Kathleen England  11 , Neville Calleja  11 , Liselotte van Asten  12 , Anne C Teirlinck  12 , Ragnhild Tønnessen  13 , Richard A White  13 , Susana P Silva  14 , Ana P Rodrigues  14 , Amparo Larrauri  15 , Inmaculada Leon  15 , Ahmed Farah  16 , Christoph Junker  17 , Mary Sinnathamby  18 , Richard G Pebody  18 , Arlene Reynolds  19 , Jennifer Bishop  19 , Diane Gross  20 , Cornelia Adlhoch  21 , Pasi Penttinen  21 , Kåre Mølbak  1
Affiliations

Excess all-cause and influenza-attributable mortality in Europe, December 2016 to February 2017

Lasse S Vestergaard et al. Euro Surveill. .

Abstract

Since December 2016, excess all-cause mortality was observed in many European countries, especially among people aged ≥ 65 years. We estimated all-cause and influenza-attributable mortality in 19 European countries/regions. Excess mortality was primarily explained by circulation of influenza virus A(H3N2). Cold weather snaps contributed in some countries. The pattern was similar to the last major influenza A(H3N2) season in 2014/15 in Europe, although starting earlier in line with the early influenza season start.

Keywords: EuroMOMO; Europe; Mortality; influenza; influenza virus A(H3N2); surveillance.

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Conflict of interest statement

Conflict of interest: None declared.

Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1
Number of all-cause deaths by week and modelled baseline from pooled analysis of data, participating EuroMOMO countries/regions, calendar week 25/2013 until week 8/2017
Figure 2
Figure 2
Cumulated pooled excess all-cause mortality, participating EuroMOMO countries/regions, winter seasons 2013/14, 2014/15, 2015/16 and 2016/17 (until week 8/2017)
Figure 3
Figure 3
Weekly proportions of influenza-positive primary care sentinel specimens and threshold of 10% positivity, participating EuroMOMO countries/regionsa, winter seasons 2013/14 to 2016/17 (until week 8/2017)
Figure 4
Figure 4
Weekly all-cause and influenza-attributable mortality rates (deaths per 100,000 people per week), participating EuroMOMO countries, winter seasons 2013/14 to 2016/17 (until week 8/2017)
See this image and copyright information in PMC

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