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. 2018 Aug;53(4):2446-2469.
doi: 10.1111/1475-6773.12734. Epub 2017 Jun 30.

Changes in Hospital Inpatient Utilization Following Health Care Reform

Affiliations

Changes in Hospital Inpatient Utilization Following Health Care Reform

Gary Pickens et al. Health Serv Res. 2018 Aug.

Abstract

Objective: To estimate the effects of 2014 Medicaid expansions on inpatient outcomes.

Data sources: Health Care Cost and Utilization Project State Inpatient Databases, 2011-2014; population and unemployment estimates.

Study design: Retrospective study estimating effects of Medicaid expansions using difference-in-differences regression. Outcomes included total admissions, referral-sensitive surgical and preventable admissions, length of stay, cost, and patient illness severity.

Findings: In 2014 quarter four, compared with nonexpansion states, Medicaid admissions increased (28.5 percent, p = .006), and uninsured and private admissions decreased (-55.1 percent, p = .001, and -6.6 percent, p = .052), whereas all-payer admissions showed little change. Uninsured expansion effects were negative for preventable admissions (-24.4 percent, p = .068), length of stay (-9.3 percent, p = .039), total cost (-9.2 percent, p = .128), and illness severity (-4.5 percent, p = .397). Significant positive expansion effects were found for Medicaid referral-sensitive surgeries (11.8 percent, p = .021) and patient illness severity (2.3 percent, p = .015). Private and all-payer expansion effects for outcomes other than admission volume were small and mainly nonsignificant (p > .05).

Conclusion: Medicaid expansions did not change all-payer admission volumes, but they were associated with increased Medicaid and decreased uninsured volumes. Results suggest those previously uninsured with greater needs for inpatient services were most likely to gain coverage. Compositional changes in uninsured and Medicaid admissions may be due to selection.

Keywords: Affordable Care Act; Medicaid expansion; inpatient care; medically uninsured.

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Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1
Observed Trends for Selected Study Outcomes by State Medicaid Expansion Status and Payment Source, 2011–2014
  1. Abbreviations: Q, quarter, NEXP, nonexpansion State; EXP, Expansion State.

  2. Source: Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ), Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project (HCUP), State Inpatient Databases (SID).

Figure 2
Figure 2
Expansion Effects for Study Outcomes: Medicaid and Uninsured, 2014, Quarters 1–4
  1. Note. Error bars represent 95% confidence intervals for expansion effects.

  2. Abbreviations: Q, quarter; Ref. Sens., Referral‐Sensitive Surgery; Admit, Admission.

  3. Source: Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ), Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project (HCUP), State Inpatient Databases (SID).

Figure 3
Figure 3
Expansion Effects for Study Outcomes: Private and All‐Payers, 2014, Quarters 1–4
  1. Note. Error bars represent 95% confidence intervals for expansion effects.

  2. Abbreviations: Q, quarter; Ref. Sens., Referral‐Sensitive Surgery; Admit, Admission.

  3. Source: Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ), Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project (HCUP), State Inpatient Databases (SID).

References

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