Skip to main page content
U.S. flag

An official website of the United States government

Dot gov

The .gov means it’s official.
Federal government websites often end in .gov or .mil. Before sharing sensitive information, make sure you’re on a federal government site.

Https

The site is secure.
The https:// ensures that you are connecting to the official website and that any information you provide is encrypted and transmitted securely.

Access keys NCBI Homepage MyNCBI Homepage Main Content Main Navigation
. 2017 Jul;105(3):240-242.
doi: 10.5195/jmla.2017.98. Epub 2017 Jul 1.

Trend analysis of journal metrics: a new academic library service?

Peter Kokol

Trend analysis of journal metrics: a new academic library service?

Peter Kokol. J Med Libr Assoc. 2017 Jul.

Erratum in

Abstract

Objective: Temporal trends in source normalized impact per paper (SNIP) values for the three top-ranking nursing journals were analyzed and compared to explore whether predicting future SNIP values based on trend analysis could be an innovative service provided by librarians.

Methods: The International Journal of Nursing Studies, Journal of Nursing Scholarship, and Journal of Advanced Nursing were the three top-ranked nursing journals according to 2015 SNIP values. SNIP values for the selected journals were retrieved from the Scopus database, and extracted data were exported to Joinpoint trend analysis software to perform trend analysis.

Results: The trend in SNIP values for the International Journal of Nursing Studies was the most stable and positive, whereas the trend in SNIP values for the Journal of Advanced Nursing was the most negative. The annual percentage change of the most recent trend line, which is the best indicator for predicting future SNIP values, was the largest for the International Journal of Nursing Studies.

Conclusions: Predictions of journal metrics based on statistical joinpoint regression may not be completely accurate. Using this technique, however, a librarian can reasonably claim which journal will retain or even improve its prestige in the future and thus safely advise prospective authors on where to publish their research.

PubMed Disclaimer

Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1
Trend model for the International Journal of Nursing Studies (IJNS) SNIP values in the y-axis are shown without a decimal point (e.g., a SNIP value of 1.00 is represented as 100).
Figure 2
Figure 2
Trend model for the Journal of Nursing Scholarship (JNS) SNIP values in the y-axis are shown without a decimal point (e.g., a SNIP value of 1.00 is represented as 100).
Figure 3
Figure 3
Trend model for the Journal of Advanced Nursing (JAN) SNIP values in the y-axis are shown without a decimal point (e.g., a SNIP value of 1.00 is represented as 100).
See this image and copyright information in PMC

References

    1. Gumpenberger C, Wieland M, Gorraiz J. Bibliometric practices and activities at the University of Vienna. Libr Manag. 2012;33(3):174–83. doi: 10.1108/01435121211217199. - DOI
    1. Brandon AN. Publish or perish. Bull Med Libr Assoc. 1963 Jan;51(1):109–10. - PMC - PubMed
    1. Baumann H. Publish and perish? the impact of citation indexing on the development of new fields of environmental research. J Industrial Ecol. 2002 Jul;6(3–4):13–26. doi: 10.1162/108819802766269511. - DOI
    1. Bladek M. Bibilometrics services and the academic library: meeting the emerging needs of the campus community. Coll Undergrad Libr. 2014;21(3–4):330–44. doi: 10.1080/10691316.2014.929066. - DOI
    1. Moed HF. Measuring contextual citation impact of scientific journals. J Informetrics. 2010 Jul;4(3):265–277. doi: 10.1016/j.joi.2010.01.002. - DOI

LinkOut - more resources