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. 2017 Jul 4;16(1):271.
doi: 10.1186/s12936-017-1919-4.

Incidence, prevalence and mortality rates of malaria in Ethiopia from 1990 to 2015: analysis of the global burden of diseases 2015

Amare Deribew  1   2   3 , Tariku Dejene  4 , Biruck Kebede  5 , Gizachew Assefa Tessema  6   7 , Yohannes Adama Melaku  8   9 , Awoke Misganaw  10 , Teshome Gebre  11 , Asrat Hailu  12 , Sibhatu Biadgilign  13 , Alemayehu Amberbir  14 , Biruck Desalegn Yirsaw  15 , Amanuel Alemu Abajobir  16   17 , Oumer Shafi  18 , Semaw F Abera  9   19 , Nebiyu Negussu  5 , Belete Mengistu  5 , Azmeraw T Amare  8   20 , Abate Mulugeta  21 , Birhan Mengistu  5 , Zerihun Tadesse  22 , Mesfin Sileshi  5 , Elizabeth Cromwell  10 , Scott D Glenn  10 , Kebede Deribe  23   24 , Jeffrey D Stanaway  10
Affiliations

Incidence, prevalence and mortality rates of malaria in Ethiopia from 1990 to 2015: analysis of the global burden of diseases 2015

Amare Deribew et al. Malar J. .

Abstract

Background: In Ethiopia there is no complete registration system to measure disease burden and risk factors accurately. In this study, the 2015 global burden of diseases, injuries and risk factors (GBD) data were used to analyse the incidence, prevalence and mortality rates of malaria in Ethiopia over the last 25 years.

Methods: GBD 2015 used verbal autopsy surveys, reports, and published scientific articles to estimate the burden of malaria in Ethiopia. Age and gender-specific causes of death for malaria were estimated using cause of death ensemble modelling.

Results: The number of new cases of malaria declined from 2.8 million [95% uncertainty interval (UI) 1.4-4.5 million] in 1990 to 621,345 (95% UI 462,230-797,442) in 2015. Malaria caused an estimated 30,323 deaths (95% UI 11,533.3-61,215.3) in 1990 and 1561 deaths (95% UI 752.8-2660.5) in 2015, a 94.8% reduction over the 25 years. Age-standardized mortality rate of malaria has declined by 96.5% between 1990 and 2015 with an annual rate of change of 13.4%. Age-standardized malaria incidence rate among all ages and gender declined by 88.7% between 1990 and 2015. The number of disability-adjusted life years lost (DALY) due to malaria decreased from 2.2 million (95% UI 0.76-4.7 million) in 1990 to 0.18 million (95% UI 0.12-0.26 million) in 2015, with a total reduction 91.7%. Similarly, age-standardized DALY rate declined by 94.8% during the same period.

Conclusions: Ethiopia has achieved a 50% reduction target of malaria of the millennium development goals. The country should strengthen its malaria control and treatment strategies to achieve the sustainable development goals.

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Figures

Fig. 1
Fig. 1
Mortality (a) and DALY (b) rates by gender and age group in 2015
Fig. 2
Fig. 2
Age-standardized malaria incidence (a), prevalence (b) and mortality (c) rates in males and females between 1990-and 2015
Fig. 3
Fig. 3
Age-standardized DALY rates of malaria by gender and year
See this image and copyright information in PMC

References

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