Fibro-Mark: a panel of laboratory parameters for predicting significant fibrosis in chronic hepatitis C patients

Abstract

Background: Fibrosis markers are useful for the prediction of cirrhosis but clinical scores such as King's score, AST-Platelet ratio index (APRI), Biotechnology research center (BRC), Fibrosis routine test (FRT), Fibro-α score and Fibro-quotient (FibroQ) have limited accuracy for diagnosing significant fibrosis. We hypothesised that new markers (reflecting the balance between hepatic fibrogenesis and fibrolysis) together with other indirect fibrosis markers would together construct a more sensitive and specific score capable of identifying fibrosis than existing scores.

Methods: Collagen IV, hyaluronic acid, platelet-derived growth factor (PDGF) and tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinase-1 (TIMP-1) were measured by ELISA, and AST, ALT, platelet count, albumin, total bilirubin, INR and AFP by routine methods in 148 patients with hepatitis C induced liver disease. Stepwise linear discriminant analysis and area under receiver-operating characteristic curves (AUCs) were used to create a predictive score and compare it to others.

Results: Patients with significant fibrosis (n = 100, F2-F4) showed 2.08, 2.14, 1.80 and 1.90-fold increase in collagen IV, hyaluronic acid, PDGF and TIMP-1, respectively, over patients with no or mild fibrosis (n = 48, F0/F1)(all p < 0.01). Significant independent predictors of F2-F4 were AFP (AUC 0.79), age (0.76), PDGF (0.74), collagen IV (0.78) and TIMP (0.75), which together formed a five-marker score 'Fibro-Mark' for predicting F2-F4. In comparison with other scores, AUC for Fibro-Mark was 0.89, BRC was 0.83, followed by FRT and King's score (both 0.82), APRI (0.80), Fibro-α (0.70) and finally Fibro Q (0.63).

Conclusions: The Fibro-Mark score provides better discrimination in hepatic-fibrosis staging in chronic hepatitis C patients than existing scores.

Keywords: Liver fibrosis; PDGF; TIMP-1; collagen IV; hyaluronic acid; non-invasive.