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Review
. 2017 Oct 31;89(18):1915-1922.
doi: 10.1212/WNL.0000000000004606. Epub 2017 Oct 4.

Meta-analysis of pharmacogenetic interactions in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis clinical trials

Collaborators, Affiliations
Review

Meta-analysis of pharmacogenetic interactions in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis clinical trials

Ruben P A van Eijk et al. Neurology. .

Erratum in

Abstract

Objective: To assess whether genetic subgroups in recent amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) trials responded to treatment with lithium carbonate, but that the treatment effect was lost in a large cohort of nonresponders.

Methods: Individual participant data were obtained from 3 randomized trials investigating the efficacy of lithium carbonate. We matched clinical data with data regarding the UNC13A and C9orf72 genotype. Our primary outcome was survival at 12 months. On an exploratory basis, we assessed whether the effect of lithium depended on the genotype.

Results: Clinical data were available for 518 of the 606 participants. Overall, treatment with lithium carbonate did not improve 12-month survival (hazard ratio [HR] 1.0, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.7-1.4; p = 0.96). Both the UNC13A and C9orf72 genotype were independent predictors of survival (HR 2.4, 95% CI 1.3-4.3; p = 0.006 and HR 2.5, 95% CI 1.1-5.2; p = 0.032, respectively). The effect of lithium was different for UNC13A carriers (p = 0.027), but not for C9orf72 carriers (p = 0.22). The 12-month survival probability for UNC13A carriers treated with lithium carbonate improved from 40.1% (95% CI 23.2-69.1) to 69.7% (95% CI 50.4-96.3).

Conclusions: This study incorporated genetic data into past ALS trials to determine treatment effects in a genetic post hoc analysis. Our results suggest that we should reorient our strategies toward finding treatments for ALS, start focusing on genotype-targeted treatments, and standardize genotyping in order to optimize randomization and analysis for future clinical trials.

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Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1. Pooled analysis of treatment effect for lithium carbonate and 12-month survival for each genetic subgroup
Pooled 12-month survival in 3 clinical trials evaluating the efficacy of lithium carbonate. (A) Overall treatment effect of lithium carbonate was nonsignificant (hazard ratio [HR] 1.0, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.7–1.4). (B) There was a significant effect of genetic subgroups on 12-month survival, irrespective of treatment arm, within the clinical trials (UNC13A HR 2.4, 95% CI 1.3–4.3; p = 0.006; and C9orf72 HR 2.5, 95% CI 1.1–5.2; p = 0.032). Three patients had both risk variants of UNC13A and C9orf72; the number at risk of these patients is merged with the UNC13A carriers.
Figure 2
Figure 2. Cox proportional hazards model of 12-month survival and the interaction of lithium carbonate with UNC13A genotype
Incorporating interaction terms between treatment arm (control or active) and UNC13A carrier status revealed that the effect of lithium carbonate significantly depended on the UNC13A carrier status (p = 0.027). Lithium carbonate improved the 12-month survival in individuals with the UNC13A C/C genotype, but had no effect in noncarriers.

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