Predictors of Outcome in Patients with Pediatric Intracerebral Hemorrhage: Development and Validation of a Modified Score

Abstract

Purpose To propose and validate a modified pediatric intracerebral hemorrhage (PICH) (mPICH) score and to compare its association with functional outcome to that of the original PICH score. Materials and Methods Data from prospectively included patients were retrospectively analyzed. Consecutive patients with nontraumatic PICH who had undergone clinical follow-up were included. The study population was divided into a development cohort (2008-2012, n = 100) and a validation cohort (2013-2016, n = 43). An mPICH score was developed after variables associated with poor outcome were identified at multivariate analysis (King's Outcome Scale for Childhood Head Injury score < 5a) in the development cohort. The accuracy of the score for prediction of poor outcome was evaluated (sensitivity, specificity). Discrimination and calibration of associations between the mPICH score and poor outcome cohorts were assessed (C statistics, Hosmer-Lemeshow test). Results The mPICH score assessed as follows: brain herniation, four points; altered mental status, three points; hydrocephalus, two points; infratentorial PICH, two points; intraventricular hemorrhage, one point; PICH volume greater than 2% of total brain volume, one point. An mPICH score greater than 5 was associated with severe disability or worse, with sensitivity of 97% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 83%, 100%) and specificity of 61% (95% CI: 49%, 73%). The C statistic was 0.81 (95% CI: 0.73, 0.89). In the validation cohort, sensitivity and specificity were 95.2% (95% CI: 76%, 99%) and 77% (95% CI: 55%, 92%), respectively. There was no significant difference between the observed and predicted risks of poor outcome (P = .46). Conclusion An mPICH score was developed as a simple clinical and imaging grading scale for acute prognosis in patients with PICH. ^© RSNA, 2017.