The Use of Mapping to Estimate Health State Utility Values

Abstract

Mapping functions are estimated using regression analyses and are frequently used to predict health state utility values (HSUVs) in decision analytic models. Mapping functions are used when evidence on the required preference-based measure (PBM) is not available, or where modelled values are required for a decision analytic model, for example to control for important sociodemographic variables (such as age or gender). This article provides an overview of the latest recommendations including pre-mapping considerations, the mapping process including data requirements for undertaking the estimation of mapping functions, regression models for estimating mapping functions, assessing performance and reporting standards for mapping studies. Examples in rheumatoid arthritis are used for illustration. When reporting the results of mapping standards the following should be reported: a description of the dataset used (including distributions of variables used) and any analysis used to inform the selection of the model type and model specification. The regression method and specification should be justified, and as summary statistics may mask systematic bias in errors, plots comparing observed and predicted HSUVs. The final model (coefficients, error term(s), variance and covariance) should be reported together with a worked example. It is important to ensure that good practice is followed as any mapping functions will only be as appropriate and accurate as the method used to obtain them; for example, mapping should not be used if there is no overlap between the explanatory and target variables.