Screening for intracranial aneurysms in autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease is cost-effective

Abstract

Intracranial aneurysm rupture is a dramatic complication of autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD). It remains uncertain whether screening should be widespread or only target patients with risk factors (personal or familial history of intracranial aneurysm), with an at-risk profession, or those who request screening. We evaluated this in a single-center cohort of 495 consecutive patients with ADPKD submitted to targeted intracranial aneurysm screening. Cerebral magnetic resonance angiography was proposed to 110 patients with a familial history of intracranial aneurysm (group 1), whereas it was not our intention to propose it to 385 patients without familial risk (group 2). Magnetic resonance angiography results, intracranial aneurysm prophylactic repair, rupture events, and cost-effectiveness of intracranial aneurysm screening strategies were retrospectively analyzed. During a median follow up of 5.9 years, five non-fatal intracranial aneurysm ruptures occurred (incidence rate 2.0 (0.87-4.6)/1000 patients-year). In group 1, 90% of patients were screened and an intracranial aneurysm was detected in 14, treated preventively in five, and ruptured in one patient despite surveillance. In group 2, 21% of patients were screened and an intracranial aneurysm was detected in five, and treated preventively in one. Intracranial aneurysm rupture occurred in four patients in group 2. Systematic screening was deemed cost-effective and provides a gain of 0.68 quality-adjusted life years compared to targeted screening. Thus, the intracranial aneurysm rupture rate is high in ADPKD despite targeted screening, and involves mostly patients without familial risk factors. Hence, cost-utility analysis suggests that intracranial aneurysm screening could be proposed to all ADPKD patients.

Keywords: ADPKD; cardiovascular disease; cost-utility analysis; intracranial aneurysms.