doi: 10.1038/s41559-017-0273-9.
Multiscale scenarios for nature futures
Isabel M D Rosa
1
2
, Henrique M Pereira
3
4
5
, Simon Ferrier
6
, Rob Alkemade
7
, Lilibeth A Acosta
8
, H Resit Akcakaya
9
, Eefje den Belder
7
10
, Asghar M Fazel
11
12
, Shinichiro Fujimori
13
14
, Mike Harfoot
15
, Khaled A Harhash
16
, Paula A Harrison
17
, Jennifer Hauck
18
19
, Rob J J Hendriks
20
, Gladys Hernández
21
, Walter Jetz
22
23
, Sylvia I Karlsson-Vinkhuyzen
24
, HyeJin Kim
25
, Nicholas King
26
, Marcel T J Kok
7
, Grygoriy O Kolomytsev
27
, Tanya Lazarova
7
, Paul Leadley
28
, Carolyn J Lundquist
29
30
, Jaime García Márquez
31
, Carsten Meyer
32
22
, Laetitia M Navarro
32
33
, Carsten Nesshöver
32
18
, Hien T Ngo
34
, Karachepone N Ninan
35
, Maria G Palomo
36
, Laura M Pereira
37
, Garry D Peterson
38
, Ramon Pichs
21
, Alexander Popp
39
, Andy Purvis
40
, Federica Ravera
41
42
43
, Carlo Rondinini
44
, Jyothis Sathyapalan
45
, Aafke M Schipper
7
, Ralf Seppelt
33
19
, Josef Settele
32
46
, Nadia Sitas
47
, Detlef van Vuuren
7
Affiliations
Affiliations
- 1 German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv), 04103, Leipzig, Germany. isabel.rosa@idiv.de.
- 2 Martin Luther University Halle-Wittenberg, 06108, Halle, Germany. isabel.rosa@idiv.de.
- 3 German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv), 04103, Leipzig, Germany. hpereira@idiv.de.
- 4 Martin Luther University Halle-Wittenberg, 06108, Halle, Germany. hpereira@idiv.de.
- 5 Centro de Investigação em Biodiversidade e Recursos Genéticos (CIBIO), Universidade do Porto, 4485-661, Vairāo, Portugal. hpereira@idiv.de.
- 6 Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO) Land and Water, Canberra, 2601, Australia.
- 7 PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, 2500 GH, The Hague, The Netherlands.
- 8 Department of Community and Environmental Resource Planning, College of Human Ecology, University of the Philippines Los Banos (UPLB), 4031, Laguna, Philippines.
- 9 Department of Ecology and Evolution, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, NY, 11794-5245, USA.
- 10 Agrosystems Research, Wageningen University and Research, 6708 PB, Wageningen, The Netherlands.
- 11 University College of Environment, Karaj, 14155-6135, Iran.
- 12 ECO Institute of Environmental Science and Technology (ECO-IEST), Karaj, 31746-118, Iran.
- 13 Center for Social and Environmental Systems Research, National Institute for Environmental Studies (NIES), Tsukuba, Ibaraki, 305-8506, Japan.
- 14 International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), A-2361, Laxenburg, Austria.
- 15 United Nations Environment Programme, World Conservation Monitoring Centre, Cambridge, CB3 0DL, UK.
- 16 Egyptian Environmental Affairs Agency (EEAA), Maadi, Cairo, 11728, Egypt.
- 17 Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Lancaster Environment Centre, Bailrigg, Lancaster, LA1 4AP, UK.
- 18 UFZ - Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research, 04318, Leipzig, Germany.
- 19 CoKnow Consulting, 04838, Jesewitz, Germany.
- 20 Directorate of Agro and Nature Knowledge, Ministry of Economic Affairs, 2594 AC, The Hague, The Netherlands.
- 21 Centre for World Economy Studies (CIEM), Miramar, 11300, Habana, Cuba.
- 22 Ecology and Evolutionary Biology Department, Yale University, New Haven, CT, 06520-8106, USA.
- 23 Department of Life Sciences, Imperial College London, Silwood Park, Ascot, Berkshire, SL5 7PY, UK.
- 24 Public Administration Group, Wageningen University and Research, 6708 PB, Wageningen, The Netherlands.
- 25 National Institute of Ecology, Seocheon, 33657, Republic of Korea.
- 26 Research Unit for Environmental Sciences and Management, North-West University, Potchefstroom, 2520, South Africa.
- 27 I.I. Schmalhausen Institute of Zoology of National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, Kiev, 01030, Ukraine.
- 28 Laboratoire d'Ecologie, Systématique et Evolution, Université Paris-Sud, 91405, Orsay, France.
- 29 Institute of Marine Science, University of Auckland, Auckland, 1142, New Zealand.
- 30 National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research Ltd (NIWA), Hamilton, 3216, New Zealand.
- 31 IRI THESys, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, 10117, Berlin, Germany.
- 32 German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv), 04103, Leipzig, Germany.
- 33 Martin Luther University Halle-Wittenberg, 06108, Halle, Germany.
- 34 IPBES secretariat, D-53113, Bonn, Germany.
- 35 Centre for Economics, Environment and Society, Bangalore, 560 047, India.
- 36 Museo Argentino de Ciencias Naturales (MACN-CONICET), C1405DJR, Buenos Aires, Argentina.
- 37 Centre for Complex Systems in Transition, Stellenbosch University, Stellenbosch, 7600, South Africa.
- 38 Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, SE-106 91, Stockholm, Sweden.
- 39 Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Telegraphenberg, 14473, Potsdam, Germany.
- 40 Department of Life Sciences, Natural History Museum, London, SW7 5BD, UK.
- 41 Instituto de Ciências Agrárias e Ambientais Mediterrânica (ICAAM), University of Évora, 7002-554, Évora, Portugal.
- 42 Agroecology and Food Systems, UVic-Universitat Central De Catalunya, 08500 Vic, Barcelona, Spain.
- 43 CREAF, Cerdanyola del Vallès, 08193, Catalonia, Spain.
- 44 Global Mammal Assessment Program, Department of Biology and Biotechnologies, Sapienza University of Rome, 00185, Rome, Italy.
- 45 Centre for Economic and Social Studies (CESS), Hyderabad, 500016, India.
- 46 UFZ - Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research, 06120, Halle, Germany.
- 47 Council for Scientific and Industrial Research (CSIR), Stellenbosch, 7600, South Africa.
- PMID: 29185524
- DOI: 10.1038/s41559-017-0273-9
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Multiscale scenarios for nature futures
Isabel M D Rosa et al.
Nat Ecol Evol.
2017 Oct.
Display options
Format
doi: 10.1038/s41559-017-0273-9.
Authors
Isabel M D Rosa
1
2
, Henrique M Pereira
3
4
5
, Simon Ferrier
6
, Rob Alkemade
7
, Lilibeth A Acosta
8
, H Resit Akcakaya
9
, Eefje den Belder
7
10
, Asghar M Fazel
11
12
, Shinichiro Fujimori
13
14
, Mike Harfoot
15
, Khaled A Harhash
16
, Paula A Harrison
17
, Jennifer Hauck
18
19
, Rob J J Hendriks
20
, Gladys Hernández
21
, Walter Jetz
22
23
, Sylvia I Karlsson-Vinkhuyzen
24
, HyeJin Kim
25
, Nicholas King
26
, Marcel T J Kok
7
, Grygoriy O Kolomytsev
27
, Tanya Lazarova
7
, Paul Leadley
28
, Carolyn J Lundquist
29
30
, Jaime García Márquez
31
, Carsten Meyer
32
22
, Laetitia M Navarro
32
33
, Carsten Nesshöver
32
18
, Hien T Ngo
34
, Karachepone N Ninan
35
, Maria G Palomo
36
, Laura M Pereira
37
, Garry D Peterson
38
, Ramon Pichs
21
, Alexander Popp
39
, Andy Purvis
40
, Federica Ravera
41
42
43
, Carlo Rondinini
44
, Jyothis Sathyapalan
45
, Aafke M Schipper
7
, Ralf Seppelt
33
19
, Josef Settele
32
46
, Nadia Sitas
47
, Detlef van Vuuren
7
Affiliations
- 1 German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv), 04103, Leipzig, Germany. isabel.rosa@idiv.de.
- 2 Martin Luther University Halle-Wittenberg, 06108, Halle, Germany. isabel.rosa@idiv.de.
- 3 German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv), 04103, Leipzig, Germany. hpereira@idiv.de.
- 4 Martin Luther University Halle-Wittenberg, 06108, Halle, Germany. hpereira@idiv.de.
- 5 Centro de Investigação em Biodiversidade e Recursos Genéticos (CIBIO), Universidade do Porto, 4485-661, Vairāo, Portugal. hpereira@idiv.de.
- 6 Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO) Land and Water, Canberra, 2601, Australia.
- 7 PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, 2500 GH, The Hague, The Netherlands.
- 8 Department of Community and Environmental Resource Planning, College of Human Ecology, University of the Philippines Los Banos (UPLB), 4031, Laguna, Philippines.
- 9 Department of Ecology and Evolution, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, NY, 11794-5245, USA.
- 10 Agrosystems Research, Wageningen University and Research, 6708 PB, Wageningen, The Netherlands.
- 11 University College of Environment, Karaj, 14155-6135, Iran.
- 12 ECO Institute of Environmental Science and Technology (ECO-IEST), Karaj, 31746-118, Iran.
- 13 Center for Social and Environmental Systems Research, National Institute for Environmental Studies (NIES), Tsukuba, Ibaraki, 305-8506, Japan.
- 14 International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), A-2361, Laxenburg, Austria.
- 15 United Nations Environment Programme, World Conservation Monitoring Centre, Cambridge, CB3 0DL, UK.
- 16 Egyptian Environmental Affairs Agency (EEAA), Maadi, Cairo, 11728, Egypt.
- 17 Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Lancaster Environment Centre, Bailrigg, Lancaster, LA1 4AP, UK.
- 18 UFZ - Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research, 04318, Leipzig, Germany.
- 19 CoKnow Consulting, 04838, Jesewitz, Germany.
- 20 Directorate of Agro and Nature Knowledge, Ministry of Economic Affairs, 2594 AC, The Hague, The Netherlands.
- 21 Centre for World Economy Studies (CIEM), Miramar, 11300, Habana, Cuba.
- 22 Ecology and Evolutionary Biology Department, Yale University, New Haven, CT, 06520-8106, USA.
- 23 Department of Life Sciences, Imperial College London, Silwood Park, Ascot, Berkshire, SL5 7PY, UK.
- 24 Public Administration Group, Wageningen University and Research, 6708 PB, Wageningen, The Netherlands.
- 25 National Institute of Ecology, Seocheon, 33657, Republic of Korea.
- 26 Research Unit for Environmental Sciences and Management, North-West University, Potchefstroom, 2520, South Africa.
- 27 I.I. Schmalhausen Institute of Zoology of National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, Kiev, 01030, Ukraine.
- 28 Laboratoire d'Ecologie, Systématique et Evolution, Université Paris-Sud, 91405, Orsay, France.
- 29 Institute of Marine Science, University of Auckland, Auckland, 1142, New Zealand.
- 30 National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research Ltd (NIWA), Hamilton, 3216, New Zealand.
- 31 IRI THESys, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, 10117, Berlin, Germany.
- 32 German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv), 04103, Leipzig, Germany.
- 33 Martin Luther University Halle-Wittenberg, 06108, Halle, Germany.
- 34 IPBES secretariat, D-53113, Bonn, Germany.
- 35 Centre for Economics, Environment and Society, Bangalore, 560 047, India.
- 36 Museo Argentino de Ciencias Naturales (MACN-CONICET), C1405DJR, Buenos Aires, Argentina.
- 37 Centre for Complex Systems in Transition, Stellenbosch University, Stellenbosch, 7600, South Africa.
- 38 Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, SE-106 91, Stockholm, Sweden.
- 39 Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Telegraphenberg, 14473, Potsdam, Germany.
- 40 Department of Life Sciences, Natural History Museum, London, SW7 5BD, UK.
- 41 Instituto de Ciências Agrárias e Ambientais Mediterrânica (ICAAM), University of Évora, 7002-554, Évora, Portugal.
- 42 Agroecology and Food Systems, UVic-Universitat Central De Catalunya, 08500 Vic, Barcelona, Spain.
- 43 CREAF, Cerdanyola del Vallès, 08193, Catalonia, Spain.
- 44 Global Mammal Assessment Program, Department of Biology and Biotechnologies, Sapienza University of Rome, 00185, Rome, Italy.
- 45 Centre for Economic and Social Studies (CESS), Hyderabad, 500016, India.
- 46 UFZ - Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research, 06120, Halle, Germany.
- 47 Council for Scientific and Industrial Research (CSIR), Stellenbosch, 7600, South Africa.
- PMID: 29185524
- DOI: 10.1038/s41559-017-0273-9
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