A County-Level Analysis of the US Radiologist Workforce: Physician Supply and Subspecialty Characteristics

Abstract

Purpose: To explore associations between county-level measures of radiologist supply and subspecialization and county structural and health-related characteristics.

Methods: Medicare Physician and Other Supplier Public Use Files were used to subspecialty characterize 32,844 radiologists participating in Medicare between 2012 and 2014. Measures of radiologist supply and subspecialization were computed for 3,143 US counties. Additional county characteristics were identified using the 2014 County Health Rankings database. Mann-Whitney tests and Spearman correlations were performed.

Results: Counties with at least one (versus no) Medicare-participating radiologist had significantly (P < .001) larger populations (197,050 ± 457,056 versus 20,253 ± 23,689), lower rural percentages (39.5% ± 26.5% versus 74.6% ± 25.6%), higher household incomes ($47,608 ± $12,493 versus $42,510 ± $9,893), higher mammography screening rates (62.4% ± 7.0% versus 56.6% ± 15.3%), and lower premature deaths (7,581 ± 2,085 versus 7,784 ± 3,409 years of life lost). Counties' radiologists per 100,000 population and percent of subspecialized radiologists showed moderate positive correlations with counties' population (r = +0.505-+0.599) and moderate negative correlations with counties' rural percentage (r = -0.434 to -0.523). Radiologist supply and degree of subspecialization both showed concurrent positive or negative weak associations with counties' percent age 65+ (r = -0.256 to -0.271), percent Hispanic (r = +0.209-+0.234), and income (r = +0.230-+0.316). Radiologists per 100,000 population showed weak positive correlation with mammography screening (r = +0.214); percent of radiologists subspecialized showed weak negative correlation with premature death (r = -0.226).

Conclusion: Geographic disparities in radiologist supply at the community level are compounded by superimposed variation in the degree of subspecialization of those radiologists. The potential impact of such access disparities on county-level health warrants further investigation.

Keywords: Medicare; Radiologist workforce; health policy; physician supply; subspecialization.