Aplastic Anemia and Risk of Incident Atrial Fibrillation - A Nationwide Cohort Study

Abstract

Background: This retrospective cohort study sought to follow up patients with aplastic anemia (AA) to evaluate their risk of developing atrial fibrillation (AF).

Methods and results: From the National Health Insurance Research Database of Taiwan, this study identified an AA cohort (n=3,921), a general population cohort (n=17,617,843) and a propensity score-matched none AA cohort (PSM non-AA cohort in brief, n=15,684) in 2000-2010. By the end of 2011, the incident AF was higher in the AA cohort than in the general population and PSM non-AA cohorts (8.94 vs. 1.14 and 6.47 per 1,000 person-years, respectively). The adjusted hazards ratio of AF for the AA cohort was 2.12 (95% confidence interval 1.46-3.08) compared with the PSM non-AA cohort, after controlling for covariates. However, after further controlling for the competing risk of death, adjusted subhazard ratio was 1.21 (95% CI 0.97-1.50). Among those who developed AF, the AA cohort had a higher mortality rate (83.7 vs. 51.1 per 100), but a lower rate of incident stroke (26.0 vs. 41.5 per 100), compared with the PSM non-AA cohort.

Conclusions: Patients with AA could have an elevated risk for AF. The mortality risk increased further for those who develop AF.

Keywords: Aplastic anemia; Atrial fibrillation; Cohort study.