Skip to main page content
U.S. flag

An official website of the United States government

Dot gov

The .gov means it’s official.
Federal government websites often end in .gov or .mil. Before sharing sensitive information, make sure you’re on a federal government site.

Https

The site is secure.
The https:// ensures that you are connecting to the official website and that any information you provide is encrypted and transmitted securely.

Access keys NCBI Homepage MyNCBI Homepage Main Content Main Navigation
. 2018 Apr;50(2):317-323.
doi: 10.4143/crt.2018.142. Epub 2018 Mar 21.

Prediction of Cancer Incidence and Mortality in Korea, 2018

Kyu-Won Jung  1   2 , Young-Joo Won  1   2   3 , Hyun-Joo Kong  1   2 , Eun Sook Lee  1   4
Affiliations

Prediction of Cancer Incidence and Mortality in Korea, 2018

Kyu-Won Jung et al. Cancer Res Treat. 2018 Apr.

Abstract

Purpose: This study aimed to report on cancer incidence and mortality for the year 2018 to estimate Korea's current cancer burden.

Materials and methods: Cancer incidence data from 1999 to 2015 were obtained from the Korea National Cancer Incidence Database, and cancer mortality data from 1993 to 2016 were acquired from Statistics Korea. Cancer incidence and mortality were projected by fitting a linear regression model to observed age-specific cancer rates against observed years, then multiplying the projected age-specific rates by the age-specific population. The Joinpoint regression model was used to determine at which year the linear trend changed significantly, we only used the data of the latest trend.

Results: A total of 204,909 new cancer cases and 82,155 cancer deaths are expected to occur in Korea in 2018. The most common cancer sites were lung, followed by stomach, colorectal, breast and liver. These five cancers represent half of the overall burden of cancer in Korea. For mortality, the most common sites were lung cancer, followed by liver, colorectal, stomach and pancreas.

Conclusion: The incidence rate of all cancer in Korea are estimated to decrease gradually, mainly due to decrease of thyroid cancer. These up-to-date estimates of the cancer burden in Korea could be an important resource for planning and evaluation of cancer-control programs.

Keywords: 2018; Forecasting; Incidence; Korea; Mortality; Neoplasms.

PubMed Disclaimer

Conflict of interest statement

Conflict of interest relevant to this article was not reported.

Figures

Fig. 1.
Fig. 1.
The 10 leading types of estimated new cancer cases and deaths by sex in 2018. (A) Estimated new cases. (B) Estimated deaths.
Fig. 2.
Fig. 2.
Projected age-specific incidences of major cancers during 2018 in Korea. (A) Males. (B) Females.
Fig. 3.
Fig. 3.
Projected age-specific mortality rates of major cancers during 2018 in Korea. (A) Males. (B). Females.
See this image and copyright information in PMC

References

    1. Daejeon: Statistics Korea; 2018. Statistics Korea [Internet] [cited 2018 Feb 8]. Available from: http://kosis.kr.
    1. Jung KW, Won YJ, Oh CM, Kong HJ, Lee DH, Lee KH, et al. Cancer statistics in Korea: incidence, mortality, survival, and prevalence in 2014. Cancer Res Treat. 2017;49:292–305. - PMC - PubMed
    1. Shin HR, Won YJ, Jung KW, Kong HJ, Yim SH, Lee JK, et al. Nationwide cancer incidence in Korea, 1999~2001; first result using the national cancer incidence database. Cancer Res Treat. 2005;37:325–31. - PMC - PubMed
    1. Fritz A, Percy C, Jack A, Shanmugaratnam K, Sobin L, Parkin DM, et al. International classification of diseases for oncology. 3rd ed. 1st rev. ed. Geneva: World Health Organization; 2013.
    1. World Health Organization . International statistical classification of diseases and related health problems. 10th rev. Geneva: World Health Organization; 1994.

LinkOut - more resources