Differentiating clearly positive from indeterminate results: A review of irreproducible HIV-1 PCR positive samples from South Africa's Early Infant Diagnosis Program, 2010-2015

Abstract

We describe the extent of and variables associated with irreproducible HIV-1 PCR positive results within South Africa's Early Infant Diagnosis (EID) program from 2010 to 2015 and propose criteria for differentiating indeterminate from clearly positive results using the COBAS® AmpliPrep/COBAS® TaqMan HIV-1 Qualitative Test version 2.0 (CAP/CTM Qual v2.0). Fourteen percent of specimens with an instrument-positive result that were repeat-tested yielded a negative result for which cycle threshold (Ct) proved to be the only predictive variable. A Ct <33.0 was found to be the most accurate threshold value for differentiating clearly positive from irreproducible cases, correctly predicting 96.8% of results. Among 70 patients with an irreproducible positive result linked to a follow up HIV-1 PCR test, 67 (95.7%) were negative and 3 (4.3%) were instrument-positive. Criteria differentiating clearly positive from indeterminate results need to be retained within EID services and infants with indeterminate results closely monitored and final HIV status determined.

Keywords: Diagnostic Accuracy; Early Infant Diagnosis; HIV-1 PCR; Indeterminate; Reproducibility.