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. 2018 Apr 5:13:565-571.
doi: 10.2147/CIA.S156208. eCollection 2018.

Usefulness of the CHADS2 and R2CHADS2 scores for prognostic stratification in patients with coronary artery disease

Affiliations

Usefulness of the CHADS2 and R2CHADS2 scores for prognostic stratification in patients with coronary artery disease

Yuerui Li et al. Clin Interv Aging. .

Abstract

Objective: The current risk model for long-term prediction in coronary artery disease (CAD) is complicated, while a simple useful model is still lacking. We aim to investigate if CHADS2 and R2CHADS2 scores could predict long-term outcome for patients with CAD.

Patients and methods: We enrolled 3,700 patients with CAD between November 2010 and September 2014 at the Department of Cardiology from Chinese PLA General Hospital. The CHADS2 and R2CHADS2 scores were calculated. All cases were followed to track the incidence of composite end point consisting of cardiovascular (CV) death, myocardial infarction (MI), stroke, heart failure, and all-cause death.

Results: During a median 2.9-year follow-up, 443 patients experienced at least one element of the composite end point of CV death (n=168 [4.6%]), MI (n=59 [1.6%]), stroke (n=96 [2.6%]), heart failure (n=101 [2.8%]), and all-cause death (n=240 [6.6%]). Multivariate Cox regression analyses showed that the CHADS2 score (hazard ratio [HR]: 2.18, 95% CI: 2.00-2.38, p<0.0001) and the R2CHADS2 score (HR: 1.93, 95% CI: 1.83-2.04, p<0.0001) were independently associated with composite outcome. Receiver-operating characteristic analysis showed that compared with the CHADS2 score, the R2CHADS2 score had better discrimination for the prediction of long-term combined outcome (0.772 vs 0.791, p=0.0013).

Conclusion: CHADS2 and R2CHADS2 scores provide a quick and useful tool in predicting long-term outcome for patients with CAD.

Keywords: CHADS2 score; R2CHADS2 score; coronary artery disease; prognosis; renal function; risk factors.

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Conflict of interest statement

Disclosure The authors report no conflicts of interest in this work.

Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1
Event-free survival curve for patients according to the CHADS2 score. Note: CHADS2, congestive heart failure, hypertension, age, diabetes, and stroke/transient ischemic attack.
Figure 2
Figure 2
Event-free survival curve for patients according to the R2CHADS2 score. Note: R2CHADS2, renal dysfunction, congestive heart failure, hypertension, age, diabetes, and stroke/transient ischemic attack.
Figure 3
Figure 3
ROC curves for the CHADS2 and R2CHADS2 scores for predicting events. Note: CHADS2, congestive heart failure, hypertension, age, diabetes, and stroke/ transient ischemic attack; R2CHADS2, renal dysfunction, congestive heart failure, hypertension, age, diabetes, and stroke/transient ischemic attack. Abbreviations: AUC, area under the curve; ROC, receiver operating characteristic.

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