Skip to main page content
U.S. flag

An official website of the United States government

Dot gov

The .gov means it’s official.
Federal government websites often end in .gov or .mil. Before sharing sensitive information, make sure you’re on a federal government site.

Https

The site is secure.
The https:// ensures that you are connecting to the official website and that any information you provide is encrypted and transmitted securely.

Access keys NCBI Homepage MyNCBI Homepage Main Content Main Navigation
. 2017 Oct;77(5):855-867.
doi: 10.1177/0013164416667985. Epub 2016 Oct 6.

Observation-Oriented Modeling: Going Beyond "Is It All a Matter of Chance"?

Affiliations

Observation-Oriented Modeling: Going Beyond "Is It All a Matter of Chance"?

James W Grice et al. Educ Psychol Meas. 2017 Oct.

Abstract

An alternative to null hypothesis significance testing is presented and discussed. This approach, referred to as observation-oriented modeling, is centered on model building in an effort to explicate the structures and processes believed to generate a set of observations. In terms of analysis, this novel approach complements traditional methods based on means, variances, and covariances with methods of pattern detection and analysis. Using data from a previously published study by Shoda et al., the basic tenets and methods of observation-oriented modeling are demonstrated and compared with traditional methods, particularly with regard to null hypothesis significance testing.

Keywords: inference to best explanation; integrated model; null hypothesis significance testing; observation-oriented modeling.

PubMed Disclaimer

Conflict of interest statement

Declaration of Conflicting Interests: The author(s) declared no potential conflicts of interest with respect to the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article.

Figures

Figure 1.
Figure 1.
Integrated model for Shoda et al.’s study.
Figure 2.
Figure 2.
Anxiety, inferiority, and stress ratings for Participant 9.
Figure 3.
Figure 3.
Overwhelmed, nervousness, and stress ratings for Participant 5.

References

    1. Alcock J. (2011, March). Back from the future: Parapsychology and the Bem affair. Skeptical Inquirer. Retrieved from http://www.csicop.org/specialarticles/show/back_from_the_future
    1. Behrens J. T., Yu C.-H. (2003). Exploratory data analysis. In Schinka J. A., Velicer W. F. (Eds.), Handbook of psychology (Vol. 2, pp. 33-64). New York, NY: Wiley.
    1. Bem D. J. (2011). Feeling the future: Experimental evidence for anomalous retroactive influences on cognition and affect. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 100, 407-425. - PubMed
    1. Bem D. J., Utts J., Johnson W. O. (2011). Must psychologists change the way they analyze their data? Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 101, 716-719. - PubMed
    1. Cumming G. (2012). Understanding the new statistics: Effect sizes, confidence intervals, and meta-analysis. New York, NY: Routledge.

LinkOut - more resources