Modelling the trajectory of disease outbreaks works

Comment

Caitlin M Rivers et al. Nature. 2018 Jul.

. 2018 Jul;559(7715):477.

doi: 10.1038/d41586-018-05798-3.

No abstract available

Keywords: Diseases; Epidemiology.

Comment on

Assessment of the potential for international dissemination of Ebola virus via commercial air travel during the 2014 west African outbreak.
Bogoch II, Creatore MI, Cetron MS, Brownstein JS, Pesik N, Miniota J, Tam T, Hu W, Nicolucci A, Ahmed S, Yoon JW, Berry I, Hay SI, Anema A, Tatem AJ, MacFadden D, German M, Khan K. Bogoch II, et al. Lancet. 2015 Jan 3;385(9962):29-35. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(14)61828-6. Epub 2014 Oct 21. Lancet. 2015. PMID: 25458732 Free PMC article.
Modeling in Real Time During the Ebola Response.
Meltzer MI, Santibanez S, Fischer LS, Merlin TL, Adhikari BB, Atkins CY, Campbell C, Fung IC, Gambhir M, Gift T, Greening B, Gu W, Jacobson EU, Kahn EB, Carias C, Nerlander L, Rainisch G, Shankar M, Wong K, Washington ML. Meltzer MI, et al. MMWR Suppl. 2016 Jul 8;65(3):85-9. doi: 10.15585/mmwr.su6503a12. MMWR Suppl. 2016. PMID: 27387097
Real-time dynamic modelling for the design of a cluster-randomized phase 3 Ebola vaccine trial in Sierra Leone.
Camacho A, Eggo RM, Goeyvaerts N, Vandebosch A, Mogg R, Funk S, Kucharski AJ, Watson CH, Vangeneugden T, Edmunds WJ. Camacho A, et al. Vaccine. 2017 Jan 23;35(4):544-551. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2016.12.019. Epub 2016 Dec 23. Vaccine. 2017. PMID: 28024952
Pandemics: spend on surveillance, not prediction.
Holmes EC, Rambaut A, Andersen KG. Holmes EC, et al. Nature. 2018 Jun;558(7709):180-182. doi: 10.1038/d41586-018-05373-w. Nature. 2018. PMID: 29880819 No abstract available.