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. 2019 Jan;103(1):131-139.
doi: 10.1097/TP.0000000000002471.

Temporal Trends Associated With the Rise in Alcoholic Liver Disease-related Liver Transplantation in the United States

Affiliations

Temporal Trends Associated With the Rise in Alcoholic Liver Disease-related Liver Transplantation in the United States

George Cholankeril et al. Transplantation. 2019 Jan.

Abstract

Background: In the United States, alcoholic liver disease (ALD) has recently become the leading indication for liver transplantation.

Methods: Using the United Network for Organ Sharing registry, we examined temporal trends in adult liver transplant waitlist (WL) registrants and recipients with chronic liver disease (CLD) due to ALD from 2007 to 2016.

Results: From 2007 to 2016, ALD accounted for 20.4% (18 399) of all CLD WL additions. The age-standardized ALD WL addition rate was 0.459 per 100 000 US population in 2007; nearly doubled to 0.872 per 100 000 US population in 2016 and increased with an average annual percent change of 47.56% (95% confidence interval, 30.33% to 64.72%).The ALD WL addition rate increased over twofold among young (18-39 years) and middle-aged (40-59 years) adults during the study period. Young adult ALD WL additions presented with a higher severity of liver disease including Model for End-Stage Liver Disease score compared to middle aged and older adults (≥60 years). The number of annual ALD WL deaths readily rose from 2014 to 2016, despite an overall annual decline in all CLD WL deaths. Severe hepatic encephalopathy, low body mass index (<18.5) and diabetes mellitus were significant predictors for 1-year WL mortality.

Conclusions: Alcoholic liver disease-related WL registrations and liver transplantation have increased over the past decade with a disproportionate increase in young and middle-aged adults. These subpopulations within the ALD cohort need to be evaluated in future studies to improve our understanding of factors associated with these alarming trends.

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Conflict of interest statement

The authors declare no funding or conflicts of interest.

Figures

FIGURE 1.
FIGURE 1.
Annual trends in chronic liver disease WL registrants with alcoholic liver disease in the United States from 2007 to 2016. A, Annual number of alcoholic liver disease WL additions by listing year. B, Annual age-standardized alcoholic liver disease WL additions (initial) rate per 100000 United States population.
FIGURE 2.
FIGURE 2.
Annual age-specific alcoholic liver disease WL addition (initial) rate per 100000 United States population from 2007 to 2016.
FIGURE 3.
FIGURE 3.
Annual number of alcoholic liver disease WL registrant deaths from 2007 to 2016.
FIGURE 4.
FIGURE 4.
Annual age-standardized alcoholic liver disease LT rate per 100000 United States population.

References

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