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. 2019 Mar;81(3):869-877.
doi: 10.1007/s11538-018-00549-x. Epub 2018 Dec 7.

The Final Size of a Serious Epidemic

Fred Brauer  1
Affiliations

The Final Size of a Serious Epidemic

Fred Brauer. Bull Math Biol. 2019 Mar.

Abstract

In an epidemic of a serious disease, there is likely to be behavioral response that decreases the epidemic size considerably, and taking this into account may lead to estimates of the final epidemic size that are much smaller and more realistic than estimates that do not take this into account.

Keywords: Behavioral response; Epidemic models; Final size relations.

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